Premier League 2024-2025: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

Bournemouth

Home Team
39%
VS

Aston Villa

Away Team
36%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 81 35 46 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 64 31 33 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 67 43 24 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 66 45 21 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 62 41 21 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 54 42 12 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 55 49 6 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 55 42 13 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 62 53 9 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 57 56 1 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 50 47 3 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 44 48 -4 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 51 62 -11 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 36 43 -7 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 42 51 -9 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 63 57 6 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 40 59 -19 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 35 76 -41 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 29 76 -47 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 25 82 -57 11

Recent Trends

Bournemouth ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)

Aston Villa ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.62
# Clean Sheets: 2

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.40
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Bournemouth is predicted to edge out Aston Villa with a 39.0% probability of winning at home, compared to Villa's 36.0% chance of taking all three points. The probability of a draw stands at 25.0%. Fans can expect an exciting encounter with a high chance of goals, as the probability for over 2.5 goals is set at 59.0%. Currently, Aston Villa is positioned 7th in the league standings, while Bournemouth sits in 8th place, making for a closely contested match.

Match Analysis

Both Bournemouth and Aston Villa have shown fluctuating forms in their recent outings. Bournemouth's last three games have seen them secure a notable away victory against Arsenal and manage two draws, one at home against Manchester United and another away at Crystal Palace. Bournemouth's recent performances have been defensively solid with two clean sheets, although their scoring rate has been modest, averaging 0.8 goals per game over the last five. On the other hand, Aston Villa has had a mixed bag of results, with a significant home victory against Newcastle and a narrow win over Fulham, offset by a defeat at the hands of Manchester City. Villa's attacking prowess has been more evident, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches. Both teams have similar defensive records, each conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game recently. Aston Villa's expected goals statistics suggest they are slightly more effective in creating scoring opportunities, which could play a crucial role in the match.

Final Prediction

Bournemouth's home advantage and recent solid performances give them a slight edge in this matchup. Their ability to keep clean sheets recently can be a deciding factor. However, Aston Villa's attacking threat should not be underestimated, making this a potentially thrilling game. A key factor to watch will be Bournemouth's defense against Villa's attacking duo, which could determine the final outcome.