Premier League 2025-2026: Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction
Bournemouth
Home Team
24%
VS
Chelsea
Away Team
58%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Man United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Everton | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Brentford | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
| 17 | Leeds | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Bournemouth
- Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 3)
Chelsea
- Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bournemouth
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.58
# Clean Sheets:
0
Chelsea
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.28
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
Chelsea is predicted to emerge victorious against Bournemouth, with a notable probability of 58.0% for an away win. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, as indicated by the 50.0% probability for this outcome. Currently, Chelsea stands at 4th position in the Premier League, while Bournemouth occupies the 14th spot, highlighting a significant gap in performance between the two teams this season.
Match Analysis
Bournemouth's recent form has been less than stellar, with no wins in their last three matches. They suffered defeats against Everton and Sunderland, though they managed to draw against West Ham. Their average goals scored in the last five games stand at 1.4, with an expected goals figure of 1.332, suggesting a modest offensive capability. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match, and have failed to keep a clean sheet.
Chelsea, on the other hand, has shown more promise, despite being inconsistent. They secured a win against Burnley and drew with Arsenal, but suffered a setback against Leeds. Their offensive metrics indicate a stronger attacking threat, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and an expected goals figure of 1.81 in recent games. Defensively, Chelsea has been more resilient, with three clean sheets in their last five matches and an average of 1.0 goals conceded per game.
Final Prediction
Chelsea's higher league position and superior recent form give them the edge in this matchup. Their ability to both score and defend effectively, as demonstrated by their clean sheets and higher expected goals, positions them well against a struggling Bournemouth side. A key factor to watch will be Chelsea's defense, which could prove pivotal in containing Bournemouth's attack and securing the predicted away win.