Premier League 2025-2026: Bournemouth vs Everton Prediction

Bournemouth

Home Team
86%
VS

Everton

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 9 3 1 25 7 18 30
2 Man City 13 8 1 4 27 12 15 25
3 Chelsea 13 7 3 3 24 12 12 24
4 Aston Villa 13 7 3 3 16 11 5 24
5 Brighton 13 6 4 3 21 16 5 22
6 Sunderland 13 6 4 3 17 13 4 22
7 Man United 13 6 3 4 21 20 1 21
8 Liverpool 13 7 0 6 20 20 0 21
9 Crystal Palace 13 5 5 3 17 11 6 20
10 Brentford 13 6 1 6 21 20 1 19
11 Bournemouth 13 5 4 4 21 23 -2 19
12 Tottenham 13 5 3 5 21 16 5 18
13 Newcastle 13 5 3 5 17 16 1 18
14 Everton 13 5 3 5 14 17 -3 18
15 Fulham 13 5 2 6 15 17 -2 17
16 Nott'm Forest 13 3 3 7 13 22 -9 12
17 West Ham 13 3 2 8 15 27 -12 11
18 Leeds 13 3 2 8 13 25 -12 11
19 Burnley 13 3 1 9 15 27 -12 10
20 Wolves 13 0 2 11 7 28 -21 2

Recent Trends

Bournemouth ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sunderland (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)

Everton ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.46
# Clean Sheets: 1

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.59
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bournemouth and Everton is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with an impressive 86.0% probability of a Bournemouth victory. The chances of Everton securing a win stand at a mere 6.0%, while a draw is slightly more plausible at 8.0%. The match is expected to be a tight affair with a predicted outcome of under 2.5 goals. In the Premier League standings, Bournemouth sits at 11th with 19 points, while Everton is just below them in 14th place with 18 points.

Match Analysis

Bournemouth’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent. They have managed to secure a draw against West Ham at home but suffered defeats on the road against Sunderland and Aston Villa. Their last three games have highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities, conceding a total of nine goals. On the flip side, Bournemouth has been relatively prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches. However, their expected goals are slightly lower, suggesting a potential overperformance in attack. Everton, meanwhile, has shown flashes of resilience with a noteworthy win against Manchester United and another victory over Fulham. Despite this, their form is marred by a heavy home loss to Newcastle. Everton’s goal-scoring record is modest, with an average of 1.2 goals per game in their recent fixtures, and they have also been conceding goals at a rate of 1.4 per game. Their advanced metrics indicate a struggle in defense, with expected goals conceded being higher than those scored, pointing to potential defensive frailties.

Final Prediction

Bournemouth’s edge in this matchup stems from their stronger home performances and a more consistent goal-scoring record compared to Everton. The Cherries will likely capitalize on Everton’s defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Bournemouth’s ability to convert their chances, given their higher-than-expected goal output in recent games, which could prove decisive in securing the predicted home victory.