Premier League 2025-2026: Brighton vs Everton Prediction

Brighton

Home Team
71%
VS

Everton

Away Team
13%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 23 15 5 3 42 17 25 50
2 Man City 23 14 4 5 47 21 26 46
3 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 35 25 10 46
4 Man United 23 10 8 5 41 34 7 38
5 Chelsea 23 10 7 6 39 25 14 37
6 Liverpool 23 10 6 7 35 32 3 36
7 Fulham 23 10 4 9 32 32 0 34
8 Brentford 23 10 3 10 35 32 3 33
9 Newcastle 23 9 6 8 32 29 3 33
10 Everton 23 9 6 8 25 26 -1 33
11 Sunderland 23 8 9 6 24 26 -2 33
12 Brighton 23 7 9 7 33 31 2 30
13 Bournemouth 23 7 9 7 38 43 -5 30
14 Tottenham 23 7 7 9 33 31 2 28
15 Crystal Palace 23 7 7 9 24 28 -4 28
16 Leeds 23 6 8 9 31 38 -7 26
17 Nott'm Forest 23 7 4 12 23 34 -11 25
18 West Ham 23 5 5 13 27 45 -18 20
19 Burnley 23 3 6 14 25 44 -19 15
20 Wolves 23 1 5 17 15 43 -28 8

Recent Trends

Brighton ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)

Everton ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.63
# Clean Sheets: 1

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Brighton and Everton is predicted to swing in favor of the home team, Brighton, with a 71.0% probability of winning. In terms of goals, the game is anticipated to surpass 2.5 goals, with a 51.0% likelihood of such an outcome. Brighton currently sits in 12th position in the Premier League standings, while Everton is slightly ahead in 10th position, both looking to climb higher with a win.

Match Analysis

Brighton's recent form has seen them struggle to secure victories, with a loss to Fulham and two consecutive draws against Bournemouth and Manchester City. Despite these results, Brighton has shown a commendable fighting spirit, managing to score in each of these encounters. Their advanced metrics suggest a slightly higher average of goals scored (1.4) compared to goals conceded (1.2) in the last five games, highlighting their offensive capabilities despite facing strong opposition. Everton, on the other hand, has managed to maintain a more stable form, securing a win against Aston Villa and drawing against Leeds and Wolves. Their defense has been particularly impressive, boasting a low average of goals conceded (0.4) in the last five matches, alongside two clean sheets. Although their scoring average is lower (0.8 goals per game), their expected goals metrics indicate potential for more, with an average of 1.248 expected goals scored.

Final Prediction

Brighton is favored to win this encounter due to their home advantage and slightly better scoring statistics. Their ability to consistently find the net could be pivotal in breaking down Everton's resolute defense. A key factor to watch will be Brighton's attacking play against Everton's strong defensive setup, which could dictate the flow and outcome of the match.