Premier League 2025-2026: Brighton vs West Ham Prediction
Brighton
Home Team
86%
VS
West Ham
Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Man United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Everton | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Brentford | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
| 17 | Leeds | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Brighton
- Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 3 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 0)
West Ham
- Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brighton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.64
# Clean Sheets:
3
West Ham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.39
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Brighton and West Ham is poised to heavily favor the home side, with an 86.0% probability of a Brighton victory. The likelihood of West Ham pulling off an upset stands at a mere 6.0%, while a draw is slightly more probable at 8.0%. With Brighton sitting in 7th position and West Ham struggling at 18th in the Premier League standings, the predicted result leans towards a Brighton win with over 2.5 goals expected in the match.
Match Analysis
Brighton enters this matchup with a mixed bag of recent performances, having secured two wins and a loss in their last three games. They demonstrated resilience with a solid 2-0 away win against Nottingham Forest and a narrow 2-1 victory over Brentford at home. Despite a 4-3 home defeat to Aston Villa, Brighton's attack remains potent, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last five matches. Their defense, however, has shown some vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.
West Ham, on the other hand, has struggled to find form, drawing two of their last three matches and losing to Liverpool at home. They managed a 1-1 draw against Manchester United and a 2-2 stalemate with Bournemouth, signaling some potential in attack. However, defensively, West Ham has been frail, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five games and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Their expected goals conceded metric of 2.39 further underscores their defensive challenges.
Final Prediction
Brighton's superior form and attacking prowess give them a significant edge over West Ham in this encounter. Their ability to score consistently, coupled with West Ham's defensive frailties, suggests a high-scoring game leaning towards the home side. Keep an eye on Brighton's offensive play; it could be the decisive factor in securing a crucial victory that would bolster their standing in the league.