Premier League 2025-2026: Burnley vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Burnley
Home Team
8%
VS
Crystal Palace
Away Team
83%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Man City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Brighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Man United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Burnley
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 3 - 2)
Crystal Palace
- Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Burnley
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.04
# Clean Sheets:
0
Crystal Palace
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.27
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming clash between Burnley and Crystal Palace, Crystal Palace is strongly favored to secure a victory with an 83.0% probability, compared to a mere 8.0% chance for Burnley. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% likelihood of this outcome. Currently, Crystal Palace sits comfortably in 9th position in the Premier League standings, while Burnley finds themselves in a precarious 19th position, battling relegation.
Match Analysis
Burnley has been struggling considerably in their recent fixtures, suffering three consecutive losses. Their recent 3-1 defeat away to Brentford, a 2-0 loss at home against Chelsea, and a narrow 3-2 loss to West Ham highlight their defensive vulnerabilities. Burnley's average of 0.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches further underscores their offensive challenges, while conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game reflects a porous defense.
Conversely, Crystal Palace has shown resilience, with a mixed bag of results in their last three games. They managed a decisive 2-0 away victory against Wolves and held Brighton to a goalless draw at home, though they were narrowly defeated by Manchester United 2-1. Crystal Palace's advanced metrics are more favorable, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in their last five outings. Their defensive solidity is further evidenced by three clean sheets in those matches, suggesting they have a strong platform to build upon.
Final Prediction
Crystal Palace is poised to capitalize on Burnley's current form, with their robust defense and ability to score making them the clear favorites. Key to watch will be Crystal Palace's defensive organization, which has been pivotal in their recent performances and could be crucial in thwarting Burnley's attempts to break their losing streak.