Premier League 2025-2026: Burnley vs Crystal Palace Prediction - 3 Dec 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Burnley

Home Team
8%
VS

Crystal Palace

Away Team
83%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 9 3 1 25 7 18 30
2 Man City 13 8 1 4 27 12 15 25
3 Chelsea 13 7 3 3 24 12 12 24
4 Aston Villa 13 7 3 3 16 11 5 24
5 Brighton 13 6 4 3 21 16 5 22
6 Sunderland 13 6 4 3 17 13 4 22
7 Man United 13 6 3 4 21 20 1 21
8 Liverpool 13 7 0 6 20 20 0 21
9 Crystal Palace 13 5 5 3 17 11 6 20
10 Brentford 13 6 1 6 21 20 1 19
11 Bournemouth 13 5 4 4 21 23 -2 19
12 Tottenham 13 5 3 5 21 16 5 18
13 Newcastle 13 5 3 5 17 16 1 18
14 Everton 13 5 3 5 14 17 -3 18
15 Fulham 13 5 2 6 15 17 -2 17
16 Nott'm Forest 13 3 3 7 13 22 -9 12
17 West Ham 13 3 2 8 15 27 -12 11
18 Leeds 13 3 2 8 13 25 -12 11
19 Burnley 13 3 1 9 15 27 -12 10
20 Wolves 13 0 2 11 7 28 -21 2

Recent Trends

Burnley L L L L W

  • Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Wolves (Goals: 3 - 2)

Crystal Palace L W D W L

  • Last Match: L vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Burnley

xG (avg) 0.63
xGA (avg) 2.04
Clean Sheets 0

Crystal Palace

xG (avg) 1.78
xGA (avg) 1.27
Clean Sheets 3

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Burnley and Crystal Palace, Crystal Palace is strongly favored to secure a victory with an 83.0% probability, compared to a mere 8.0% chance for Burnley. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% likelihood of this outcome. Currently, Crystal Palace sits comfortably in 9th position in the Premier League standings, while Burnley finds themselves in a precarious 19th position, battling relegation.

Match Analysis

Burnley has been struggling considerably in their recent fixtures, suffering three consecutive losses. Their recent 3-1 defeat away to Brentford, a 2-0 loss at home against Chelsea, and a narrow 3-2 loss to West Ham highlight their defensive vulnerabilities. Burnley's average of 0.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches further underscores their offensive challenges, while conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game reflects a porous defense. Conversely, Crystal Palace has shown resilience, with a mixed bag of results in their last three games. They managed a decisive 2-0 away victory against Wolves and held Brighton to a goalless draw at home, though they were narrowly defeated by Manchester United 2-1. Crystal Palace's advanced metrics are more favorable, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in their last five outings. Their defensive solidity is further evidenced by three clean sheets in those matches, suggesting they have a strong platform to build upon.

Final Prediction

Crystal Palace is poised to capitalize on Burnley's current form, with their robust defense and ability to score making them the clear favorites. Key to watch will be Crystal Palace's defensive organization, which has been pivotal in their recent performances and could be crucial in thwarting Burnley's attempts to break their losing streak.

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Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

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