Premier League 2025-2026: Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction

Burnley

Home Team
6%
VS

Tottenham

Away Team
87%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 14 26 50
2 Man City 22 13 4 5 45 21 24 43
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 25 8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 29 4 36
5 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 24 12 34
7 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 30 5 33
8 Newcastle 22 9 6 7 32 27 5 33
9 Sunderland 22 8 9 5 23 23 0 33
10 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 25 -1 32
11 Fulham 22 9 4 9 30 31 -1 31
12 Brighton 22 7 9 6 32 29 3 30
13 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 25 -2 28
14 Tottenham 22 7 6 9 31 29 2 27
15 Bournemouth 22 6 9 7 35 41 -6 27
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 30 37 -7 25
17 Nott'm Forest 22 6 4 12 21 34 -13 22
18 West Ham 22 4 5 13 24 44 -20 17
19 Burnley 22 3 5 14 23 42 -19 14
20 Wolves 22 1 5 16 15 41 -26 8

Recent Trends

Burnley ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 0)

Tottenham ❌ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Burnley

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.78
# Clean Sheets: 1

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Tottenham is heavily favored to win their upcoming clash against Burnley, with an 87.0% probability of victory. Meanwhile, Burnley has a mere 6.0% chance of pulling off an upset. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, given the 44.0% probability for over 2.5 goals. Tottenham currently sits in 14th place in the Premier League standings, whereas Burnley is struggling in 19th place, deep in the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Burnley has shown some resilience in their last three outings, managing to draw against formidable opponents like Liverpool and Manchester United. However, they suffered a defeat against Brighton, highlighting their inconsistency. Despite this, Burnley's defense has been fairly porous, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match in their recent fixtures, which is a concern heading into this encounter against Tottenham. On the other hand, Tottenham's recent performances have been somewhat underwhelming, with two losses and a draw in their last three matches. They succumbed to West Ham and Bournemouth but managed a draw against Sunderland. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. However, Tottenham's ability to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches may offer some solace. Both teams have similar scoring averages, with Tottenham and Burnley each netting an average of 1.0 goal per game.

Final Prediction

Tottenham's higher standing in the Premier League and their ability to maintain clean sheets in recent matches give them a clear edge over Burnley. The key factor to watch will be Tottenham's defense, as their ability to shut down Burnley's attack could be crucial in claiming all three points. Burnley, meanwhile, will need to exploit any defensive lapses from Tottenham to have a fighting chance.