Premier League 2025-2026: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Prediction

Crystal Palace

Home Team
44%
VS

Aston Villa

Away Team
33%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 15 3 2 40 14 26 48
2 Man City 20 13 3 4 44 18 26 42
3 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 33 24 9 42
4 Liverpool 20 10 4 6 32 28 4 34
5 Chelsea 20 8 7 5 33 22 11 31
6 Man United 20 8 7 5 34 30 4 31
7 Brentford 20 9 3 8 32 28 4 30
8 Sunderland 20 7 9 4 21 19 2 30
9 Newcastle 20 8 5 7 28 24 4 29
10 Brighton 20 7 7 6 30 27 3 28
11 Fulham 20 8 4 8 28 29 -1 28
12 Everton 20 8 4 8 22 24 -2 28
13 Tottenham 20 7 6 7 28 24 4 27
14 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 22 23 -1 27
15 Bournemouth 20 5 8 7 31 38 -7 23
16 Leeds 20 5 7 8 26 33 -7 22
17 Nott'm Forest 20 5 3 12 19 33 -14 18
18 West Ham 20 3 5 12 21 41 -20 14
19 Burnley 20 3 3 14 20 39 -19 12
20 Wolves 20 1 3 16 14 40 -26 6

Recent Trends

Crystal Palace ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)

Aston Villa ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 3 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 0

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.29
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa sees the home team with a slight edge, holding a 44% probability of victory. Aston Villa, despite being third in the standings, has a 33% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 23%. The game is predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 50% probability, and both teams are expected to find the back of the net. Crystal Palace currently sits in 14th place, while Aston Villa is strongly positioned at 3rd in the Premier League.

Match Analysis

Crystal Palace enters this match on a challenging streak, with no wins in their last three games. They drew against Fulham at home but suffered defeats to Newcastle and Tottenham, scoring just one goal and conceding four in total. Their recent performances reveal a struggling offense, averaging only 0.4 goals per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet in their last five outings. The expected goals statistics suggest that Palace is underperforming in attack, with an average of 1.084 expected goals but only managing to score 0.4. In contrast, Aston Villa has shown resilience, winning two of their last three matches. They secured victories against Nott'm Forest and Chelsea, scoring five goals across these fixtures. Despite a setback against Arsenal, Villa's offense has been prolific, averaging 2.4 goals per game over the last five matches. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 2.2 goals, indicating a vulnerability that Crystal Palace might exploit.

Final Prediction

The predicted edge for Crystal Palace is primarily due to the home advantage and the higher probability of a win. Nevertheless, Aston Villa's strong attacking form poses a significant threat. A key factor to watch will be whether Crystal Palace can capitalize on Aston Villa's defensive frailties, potentially turning the tide in their favor. Football fans can expect an engaging match with potential for plenty of goals, making it a must-watch encounter.