Premier League 2025-2026: Crystal Palace vs Brentford Prediction

Crystal Palace

Home Team
56%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
21%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 7 1 1 16 3 13 22
2 Bournemouth 9 5 3 1 16 11 5 18
3 Tottenham 9 5 2 2 17 7 10 17
4 Sunderland 9 5 2 2 11 7 4 17
5 Man City 9 5 1 3 17 7 10 16
6 Man United 9 5 1 3 15 14 1 16
7 Liverpool 9 5 0 4 16 14 2 15
8 Aston Villa 9 4 3 2 9 8 1 15
9 Chelsea 9 4 2 3 17 11 6 14
10 Crystal Palace 9 3 4 2 12 9 3 13
11 Brentford 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13
12 Newcastle 9 3 3 3 9 8 1 12
13 Brighton 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
14 Everton 9 3 2 4 9 12 -3 11
15 Leeds 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
16 Burnley 9 3 1 5 12 17 -5 10
17 Fulham 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 5 17 -12 5
19 West Ham 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4
20 Wolves 9 0 2 7 7 19 -12 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.71
# Clean Sheets: 0

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.28
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Crystal Palace and Brentford is predicted to see the home team, Crystal Palace, come out on top with a probability of 56.0%. With both teams currently tied on points in the Premier League standings, sitting at 10th and 11th place respectively, this match could be a pivotal moment for both sides. The game is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 54.0% probability of this outcome.

Match Analysis

Crystal Palace comes into this fixture after a mixed bag of performances. Their recent encounters have seen them struggle to secure victories, with a draw against Bournemouth and losses to both Arsenal and Everton. Despite these setbacks, Palace has demonstrated a potential for high-scoring matches, as evidenced by their three-goal draw with Bournemouth. Their advanced metrics indicate a team capable of creating chances, with an average of 2.7375 expected goals per game in their last five outings, although they have yet to translate these opportunities into consistent wins. On the other side, Brentford presents a more stable recent form, with victories against Liverpool and West Ham and a narrow loss to Manchester City. While they have shown resilience and a capacity to win important matches, their defensive frailties remain a concern, conceding an average of two goals per game over the last five matches. Brentford's ability to score, reflected in their 1.25 goal average, combined with a solid expected goals conceded figure (1.2775), indicates they will be a competitive force in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Crystal Palace holds the edge in this encounter, primarily due to their superior expected goals metrics and home advantage. As both teams are evenly matched in the league, Palace's ability to convert scoring opportunities will be crucial. Keep an eye on the attacking performances from both sides, as they will likely determine the outcome in what promises to be an engaging encounter.