Premier League 2025-2026: Crystal Palace vs Brighton Prediction
Crystal Palace
Home Team
53%
VS
Brighton
Away Team
24%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Man United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolves | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Crystal Palace
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 1)
Brighton
- Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Crystal Palace
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.53
# Clean Sheets:
1
Brighton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.52
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Crystal Palace is favored to win this match with a 53.0% probability, while Brighton has a lower chance of winning at 24.0%, with the draw also at 24.0%. The match is expected to have over 2.5 goals, with a 53.0% probability of this outcome. In the current Premier League standings, Crystal Palace is in 9th place with 16 points, while Brighton is just behind them in 10th place with 15 points.
Match Analysis
Both teams are entering this match with mixed recent performances. Crystal Palace managed a victory against Brentford at home, maintained a goalless draw against Bournemouth, but faced a narrow defeat away to Arsenal. Their recent form shows resilience, particularly in their defensive line with one clean sheet, and an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. Their expected goals scored in the last 5 matches suggest they are generating good attacking opportunities.
Brighton, on the other hand, secured victories against Leeds and Newcastle, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on home advantage. However, their defense showed vulnerabilities in a 4-2 away loss to Manchester United. Despite scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game, Brighton’s higher rate of conceding goals (2.0 per game) could be a concern. Their expected goals metrics indicate a balanced offensive capability but highlight potential defensive weaknesses, which they will need to address against a determined Crystal Palace side.
Final Prediction
Crystal Palace is likely to have an edge in this contest, given their slightly better recent form and home advantage. Their ability to generate chances, as indicated by their expected goals, could be crucial against a Brighton defense that has shown fragility. A key factor to watch in this game will be how Crystal Palace capitalizes on their offensive opportunities and whether Brighton can stabilize their defensive lapses to keep the game competitive.