Premier League 2024-2025: Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest Prediction - 5 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Crystal Palace

Home Team
53%
VS

Nott'm Forest

Away Team
24%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 34 18 6 10 53 41 12 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 34 14 7 13 58 50 8 49
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Recent Trends

Crystal Palace D D L L W

  • Last Match: D vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 1)

Nott'm Forest L W L L W

  • Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

xG (avg) 2.05
xGA (avg) 1.05
Clean Sheets 1

Nott'm Forest

xG (avg) 1.11
xGA (avg) 2.24
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest is predicted to favor the home team, Crystal Palace, with a 53.0% probability of winning. Nottingham Forest has a 24.0% chance of securing a victory, while there's a 23.0% likelihood of a draw. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability for this outcome. In terms of league standings, Nottingham Forest is currently in 6th place, while Crystal Palace occupies the 12th position.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Crystal Palace has shown a mixed bag of results. They managed a commendable draw against a strong Arsenal side away from home but then fell to a goalless draw at home against Bournemouth. Their most recent outing was a heavy 5-0 defeat to Newcastle. Crystal Palace's advanced metrics reveal an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded over the last five matches, with a single clean sheet in these games. Their expected goals statistics suggest a bit more offensive promise than their actual scoring has shown. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, had a recent victory against Tottenham (2-1) on the road, but they faced defeats to Brentford and Everton without scoring. Despite these setbacks, Forest has an average of 2.2 goals scored and conceded in their last five matches. The advanced metrics highlight a slight discrepancy between their expected goals and actual scoring, suggesting they might not be fully capitalizing on their chances.

Final Prediction

Crystal Palace's slight edge in predicted winning probability and their home advantage could be pivotal in this matchup. Their ability to maintain a better defensive record recently compared to Nottingham Forest might just tip the balance in their favor. A key factor to watch will be how Crystal Palace's defense handles Nottingham's offensive attempts, particularly given the latter's recent struggles to convert expected goals into actual results.

More Football Predictions

Today's AI picks across Serie A, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga and Ligue 1:

Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel