Premier League 2025-2026: Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Prediction

Crystal Palace

Home Team
59%
VS

Tottenham

Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 10 21 39
2 Man City 17 12 1 4 41 16 25 37
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 18 9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 17 12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 25 3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 17 2 27
7 Man United 17 7 5 5 31 28 3 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 19 2 26
9 Brighton 17 6 6 5 25 23 2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle 17 6 5 6 23 22 1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham 17 6 4 7 26 23 3 22
15 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 29 -3 22
16 Leeds 17 5 4 8 24 31 -7 19
17 Nott'm Forest 17 5 3 9 17 26 -9 18
18 West Ham 17 3 4 10 19 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 34 -15 11
20 Wolves 17 0 2 15 9 37 -28 2

Recent Trends

Crystal Palace ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Burnley (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 2)

Tottenham ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.97
# Clean Sheets: 1

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Crystal Palace is predicted to secure a win with a substantial probability of 59.0% against Tottenham, who have a lower winning probability at 20.0%. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with a 47.0% probability for that outcome. Currently, Crystal Palace sits at 8th in the Premier League standings, while Tottenham is struggling in 14th position.

Match Analysis

Crystal Palace's recent form shows mixed results: a victory against Fulham, but they suffered losses to Leeds and Manchester City. Their ability to bounce back from defeat will be crucial against Tottenham. On average, Palace has scored 1.2 goals per game in the last five matches but has conceded slightly more at 1.6, highlighting a slight defensive vulnerability. However, their expected goals figures suggest they can create scoring opportunities, averaging 1.486 expected goals per game. Tottenham, on the other hand, is on a challenging path with two losses and just one win in their last three outings. Their recent victory against Brentford could be a morale booster, but defeats to Liverpool and Nottingham Forest highlight defensive issues, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded in the last five games. Tottenham's offensive output seems to be below expectations, as indicated by an average of 0.848 expected goals per game, which could be a concern against Palace's defense.

Final Prediction

Crystal Palace's higher probability of winning seems justified due to their slightly better form and standing in the league. Tottenham's defensive frailties and underperforming attack could be exploited by Palace, especially if they can capitalize on their expected goal opportunities. A key factor to watch will be how Crystal Palace's defense handles Tottenham's attempts to break their recent scoring struggles.