Premier League 2025-2026: Everton vs Arsenal Prediction
Everton
Home Team
6%
VS
Arsenal
Away Team
86%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Man United | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Brighton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 20 |
| 15 | Brentford | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
| 17 | Leeds | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | West Ham | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Everton
- Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)
Arsenal
- Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 4 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Everton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
3
Arsenal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.18
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Premier League clash, Arsenal is favored to secure a victory over Everton with an 86.0% probability. The prediction also leans towards a match with under 2.5 goals, supported by a 48.0% chance. Currently, Arsenal sits at the top of the league, while Everton holds the 9th position.
Match Analysis
Everton faces a tough challenge ahead, coming off a mixed bag of results in their last three fixtures. They secured victories against Nott'm Forest and Bournemouth, managing to keep clean sheets in both encounters. However, a recent defeat at Chelsea highlights some inconsistencies, particularly in away matches. Everton's ability to maintain a strong defensive stance, as evidenced by their three clean sheets in the last five games, might be crucial against the league leaders.
On the other hand, Arsenal has demonstrated solid form by winning two of their last three matches, defeating Wolves and Brentford at home, though they slipped up against Aston Villa away. Arsenal's attack has averaged 1.4 goals in recent games, with their expected goals suggesting they might fare even better. Defensively, with an average of just 1 goal conceded per match, they have been resolute, a factor that might secure them the upper hand against Everton.
Final Prediction
Arsenal's position at the top of the table and their strong current form give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to control games with a sturdy defense and an efficient attack could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be how Everton's defense holds up against Arsenal's potent forward line, especially considering the Gunners' superior expected goals metrics.