Premier League 2025-2026: Everton vs Fulham Prediction

Everton

Home Team
51%
VS

Fulham

Away Team
25%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 8 1 1 18 3 15 25
2 Man City 10 6 1 3 20 8 12 19
3 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 18 14 4 18
4 Sunderland 10 5 3 2 12 8 4 18
5 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 17 14 3 18
6 Tottenham 10 5 2 3 17 8 9 17
7 Chelsea 10 5 2 3 18 11 7 17
8 Man United 10 5 2 3 17 16 1 17
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 14 9 5 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 17 15 2 15
11 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
13 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
14 Everton 10 3 3 4 10 13 -3 12
15 Fulham 10 3 2 5 12 14 -2 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
17 Burnley 10 3 1 6 12 19 -7 10
18 West Ham 10 2 1 7 10 21 -11 7
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 7 19 -12 6
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 0

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.87
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

With a 51.0% probability, Everton is predicted to edge out Fulham in their upcoming Premier League clash. Positioned 14th in the league, Everton looks to capitalize on the home advantage against 15th-placed Fulham. The match is also anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 50.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Recent performances have been a mixed bag for both teams. Everton has struggled, failing to secure a win in their last three matches, including a 1-1 draw against Sunderland and losses to Tottenham and Man City. This rough patch reflects their current league standing. Fulham, on the other hand, managed a decisive 3-0 victory over Wolves but succumbed to back-to-back losses against Newcastle and Arsenal. These recent results underline the inconsistency both teams have faced this season. Advanced metrics provide further insights into their performances. Everton averages 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game in their last five outings, yet they have failed to keep a clean sheet. Their expected goals (xG) statistics suggest they create opportunities (1.628 xG) but struggle defensively (1.496 xGA). Fulham's metrics reveal an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, with their xG and xGA standing at 0.99 and 1.868, respectively. Despite these challenges, Fulham managed one clean sheet, hinting at potential defensive resilience.

Final Prediction

Everton's home advantage and slightly better expected goal metrics give them a predicted edge over Fulham. The Toffees' ability to convert their opportunities will be crucial, especially against a Fulham side vulnerable to conceding. Watch out for Everton's attacking play, which could be the deciding factor in this encounter.