Premier League 2024-2025: Ipswich vs Brentford Prediction

Ipswich

Home Team
22%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
58%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 81 35 46 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 64 31 33 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 67 43 24 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 66 45 21 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 62 41 21 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 54 42 12 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 55 49 6 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 55 42 13 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 62 53 9 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 57 56 1 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 50 47 3 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 44 48 -4 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 51 62 -11 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 36 43 -7 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 42 51 -9 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 63 57 6 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 40 59 -19 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 35 76 -41 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 29 76 -47 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 25 82 -57 11

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ipswich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.94
# Clean Sheets: 0

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Ipswich and Brentford sees the away team as the predicted winner, with a 58.0% probability of victory. The game is also expected to deliver more than 2.5 goals, with a 59.0% likelihood of this outcome. Currently, Ipswich sit precariously at the 18th position in the Premier League, while Brentford are comfortably placed in 9th.

Match Analysis

Ipswich's recent performances highlight a struggle for form. Their last three games include a draw against Everton and losses to Newcastle and Arsenal, conceding a total of 9 goals and scoring only 2. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, and they concede an average of 3.2 goals per game. On the offensive side, Ipswich have managed just 1.0 goal per game, showing their lack of cutting edge. In stark contrast, Brentford are riding a wave of success with three consecutive wins against Manchester United, Nottingham Forest, and Brighton. They have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.0 goals per game while maintaining a solid defense, conceding only 0.8 goals on average. Brentford's ability to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches further underscores their defensive resilience. Their expected goals statistics also favor them, with significantly higher numbers compared to Ipswich.

Final Prediction

Brentford's recent form and impressive goal-scoring capabilities give them a clear edge over Ipswich. The disparity in both teams' recent performances and defensive records suggests that Brentford are well-positioned to capitalize on Ipswich's weaknesses. A key factor to watch will be Brentford's attack, which has shown a knack for finding the back of the net regularly, potentially overwhelming Ipswich's fragile defense.