Premier League 2025-2026: Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction
Leeds
Home Team
5%
VS
Arsenal
Away Team
88%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Man United | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Fulham | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Brentford | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Everton | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Brighton | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 30 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 28 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 28 |
| 16 | Leeds | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
| 19 | Burnley | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 15 |
| 20 | Wolves | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
Recent Trends
Leeds
- Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 3 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 0)
Arsenal
- Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 4 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Leeds
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.35
# Clean Sheets:
2
Arsenal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.00
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming clash between Leeds and Arsenal, the prediction strongly leans towards an Arsenal victory with a probability of 88.0%. Leeds, currently positioned 16th in the Premier League standings, face a daunting task against league leaders Arsenal. With a predicted result of under 2.5 goals, fans should expect a competitive yet low-scoring encounter.
Match Analysis
Leeds come into this fixture following a mixed bag of recent performances. Most notably, they managed a slim win over Fulham but dropped points with a draw against Everton and a narrow loss to Newcastle. Despite these results, Leeds have shown an ability to score consistently, averaging 2.4 goals over their last five outings. Their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, which could be problematic against a quality side like Arsenal.
Arsenal, on the other hand, have experienced a dip in form, with a loss to Manchester United followed by two goalless draws against Nottingham Forest and Liverpool. Their attack has been less prolific, scoring an average of 1.2 goals recently, but their defense remains solid, conceding just 1 goal per game on average. Arsenal's capability to maintain clean sheets, similar to Leeds, is a crucial factor that might steer the game in their favor, especially given their position atop the league.
Final Prediction
Arsenal's position as league leaders and their superior recent defensive record provide them with a significant edge over Leeds. A key factor to watch in this matchup will be Arsenal's ability to break down Leeds' defense, which has shown vulnerability in recent games. The Gunners' strong form throughout the season and their knack for keeping clean sheets could be decisive in securing the predicted victory.