Premier League 2025-2026: Leeds vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Leeds
Home Team
30%
VS
Crystal Palace
Away Team
47%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Man United | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Brighton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 20 |
| 15 | Brentford | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
| 17 | Leeds | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | West Ham | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Leeds
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
Crystal Palace
- Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Leeds
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.11
# Clean Sheets:
0
Crystal Palace
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.32
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming clash between Leeds and Crystal Palace, the odds favor Crystal Palace with a 47.0% probability of emerging victorious. Leeds has a 30.0% chance of winning, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 23.0%. The prediction leans towards a game with fewer than 2.5 goals. Currently, Crystal Palace is performing well in the league, positioned at 5th, while Leeds is fighting to climb out of the lower ranks, sitting at 17th.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown mixed performances in their recent encounters. Leeds has been resilient, securing a win against Chelsea and drawing against Brentford and Liverpool, indicating their capability to face tough opponents. Their ability to score is evident, with an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five matches, though they have yet to secure a clean sheet, conceding 1.8 goals on average.
Crystal Palace, on the other hand, has demonstrated solid form, particularly in away games, with victories over Fulham and Burnley. Despite a setback against Man City, they have maintained a robust defense, achieving two clean sheets in their last five matches and conceding just 0.8 goals on average. Their offensive play, while not as prolific, manages a steady 1.2 goals per game, supported by strong expected goals statistics.
Final Prediction
Crystal Palace's slight edge in defensive discipline and league standing gives them an advantage over Leeds. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could be pivotal against a Leeds side that has struggled defensively. Fans should watch Crystal Palace's defensive strategies closely, as their resilience at the back could be the deciding factor in this encounter.