Premier League 2025-2026: Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction
Liverpool
Home Team
85%
VS
Aston Villa
Away Team
7%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
59%
Under 2.5:
41%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Man City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Man United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Brighton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leeds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Burnley | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Nott'm Forest | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Liverpool
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 1)
Aston Villa
- Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Liverpool
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.33
# Clean Sheets:
0
Aston Villa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.37
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Liverpool and Aston Villa is predicted to be a victory for the home side, with an 85.0% probability of Liverpool winning. The match is expected to have over 2.5 goals, with a 59.0% chance supporting this outcome. Currently, Liverpool sits in 7th place in the Premier League standings, while Aston Villa is right behind them in 8th place, both teams having 15 points but differing in goal difference.
Match Analysis
In their recent performances, Liverpool appears to be struggling, having lost their last three matches against Brentford, Manchester United, and Chelsea. Despite this losing streak, Liverpool has managed to maintain an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five matches, showing they still possess an attacking threat. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.25 goals per game with no clean sheets in the same period.
On the other hand, Aston Villa comes into this match with a strong run of form, securing victories in their last three outings against formidable opponents such as Manchester City, Tottenham, and Burnley. While their scoring rate stands at 0.75 goals per game in the last five matches, they have been equally robust defensively, conceding the same average of 0.75 goals per game and achieving one clean sheet. Aston Villa's recent performances suggest a resilient side capable of challenging higher-ranked teams.
Final Prediction
Liverpool's home advantage and higher probability of winning give them the edge in this encounter. The key factor to watch will be Liverpool's ability to capitalize on their attacking opportunities against a defensively sturdy Aston Villa. Fans can expect an engaging match, with the potential for multiple goals, as both teams aim to climb the Premier League table.