Premier League 2025-2026: Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction - 31 Jan 2026
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Liverpool
Home Team
55%
VS
Newcastle
Away Team
22%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
59%
No Goal:
41%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Man United | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Fulham | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Brentford | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Everton | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Brighton | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 30 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 28 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 28 |
| 16 | Leeds | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
| 19 | Burnley | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 15 |
| 20 | Wolves | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
Recent Trends
Liverpool
- Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 0 - 0)
Newcastle
- Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Liverpool
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.78
# Clean Sheets:
2
Newcastle
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.86
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Premier League clash between Liverpool and Newcastle, Liverpool is predicted to clinch victory with a 55% probability. Fans can expect an exciting, high-scoring match, as there's a 55% chance of the game featuring over 2.5 goals. Currently, Liverpool sits in the 6th position with 36 points, while Newcastle is in 9th place with 33 points in the league standings.
Match Analysis
Liverpool's recent form has been inconsistent, with a loss to Bournemouth, a draw against Burnley, and a stalemate with Arsenal. Despite these mixed results, Liverpool's advanced metrics show promise, as they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches. Furthermore, their expected goals data suggests they could have scored more, indicating potential for improvement.
On the other hand, Newcastle's recent performances include a narrow win against Leeds, a draw with Wolves, and a loss to Aston Villa. They have shown resilience, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded over their last five games. Newcastle's expected goals and clean sheets suggest a solid defensive foundation, but they will need to be at their best to contain Liverpool's attacking threat.
Final Prediction
Liverpool is favored to win this encounter due to their slightly stronger position in the league and their potential to convert expected goals into actual goals. A key factor to watch will be Liverpool's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as well as Newcastle's defensive resilience. Both teams will need to bring their A-game to secure a crucial win in their quest for higher league standings.
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