Premier League 2025-2026: Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction
Liverpool
Home Team
91%
VS
Sunderland
Away Team
4%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Man City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Brighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Man United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Liverpool
- Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 3)
Sunderland
- Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Liverpool
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.07
# Clean Sheets:
2
Sunderland
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.83
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Liverpool and Sunderland is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a 91.0% probability of Liverpool securing a victory. The likelihood of Sunderland pulling off a win is a slim 4.0%, while the chances of a draw stand at 5.0%. Moreover, the game is expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% probability. As it stands, Liverpool is 8th in the league with 21 points, whereas Sunderland is slightly ahead in 6th place with 22 points.
Match Analysis
Liverpool's recent form has been inconsistent, with their last three outings resulting in a win against West Ham, but succumbing to defeats against Nottingham Forest and Manchester City. Their average goals scored and conceded stand at 1.2 in the last five games, indicating a balanced yet unpredictable performance. The team has shown resilience defensively with two clean sheets in their recent matches. Their expected goals metric suggests they are capable of creating scoring opportunities, though converting them remains a challenge.
On the other hand, Sunderland has demonstrated a mixed bag of results. They claimed a victory over Bournemouth, drew with league leaders Arsenal, and narrowly lost to Fulham. Their ability to score is relatively low, with an average of 0.6 goals per game in recent matches. However, their defense has been comparatively sturdy, conceding an average of 0.8 goals. The lack of clean sheets could be a concern for Sunderland as they face a formidable Liverpool attack.
Final Prediction
Liverpool's greater probability of winning is bolstered by their ability to create scoring opportunities and maintain defensive solidity, as evidenced by their recent clean sheets. Sunderland's struggles to find the back of the net consistently might give Liverpool the edge they need. Key to watch will be Liverpool's forward line, which, if clinical, could decide the game's outcome.