Premier League 2025-2026: Man United vs Brighton Prediction

Man United

Home Team
57%
VS

Brighton

Away Team
21%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 6 1 1 15 3 12 19
2 Man City 8 5 1 2 17 6 11 16
3 Bournemouth 8 4 3 1 14 11 3 15
4 Liverpool 8 5 0 3 14 11 3 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 16 9 7 14
6 Tottenham 8 4 2 2 14 7 7 14
7 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 9 6 3 14
8 Crystal Palace 8 3 4 1 12 8 4 13
9 Man United 8 4 1 3 11 12 -1 13
10 Brighton 8 3 3 2 12 11 1 12
11 Aston Villa 8 3 3 2 8 8 0 12
12 Everton 8 3 2 3 9 9 0 11
13 Brentford 8 3 1 4 11 12 -1 10
14 Newcastle 8 2 3 3 7 7 0 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
16 Leeds 8 2 2 4 7 13 -6 8
17 Burnley 8 2 1 5 9 15 -6 7
18 Nott'm Forest 8 1 2 5 5 15 -10 5
19 West Ham 8 1 1 6 6 18 -12 4
20 Wolves 8 0 2 6 5 16 -11 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man United

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 1

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Man United and Brighton is tipped in favor of the home side, with a 57.0% probability of Man United securing a win. The match is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 50.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals. Currently, Man United sits in 9th place in the Premier League standings, while Brighton is just behind in 10th, setting the stage for a closely contested encounter.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Man United has shown resilience, particularly in their last two matches where they secured victories against Liverpool and Sunderland, with a notable away win against Liverpool by 2-1. However, they stumbled against Brentford, losing 3-1, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities. Despite this, their attacking prowess is evident, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per game in their last five matches, with expected goals at a promising 2.1675. Brighton, on the other hand, has also been competitive, with a significant 3-1 away victory over Chelsea, and a recent win against Newcastle. Their draw with Wolves indicates some inconsistency, particularly in defense, as they conceded in all their last three matches. With an average of 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, their ability to convert chances efficiently could be pivotal in this match.

Final Prediction

Man United's edge in this fixture is underpinned by their recent form and higher goal-scoring potential, as indicated by their expected goals metrics. A key factor to watch will be how Brighton's defense handles Man United's attacking threats, especially given their recent struggles to keep clean sheets. Football fans can anticipate an engaging contest with both teams eager to climb the Premier League standings.