Premier League 2025-2026: Man United vs Man City Prediction
Man United
Home Team
28%
VS
Man City
Away Team
50%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
60%
No Goal:
40%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 49 |
| 2 | Man City | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | Brentford | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Man United | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 32 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 31 |
| 9 | Fulham | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Brighton | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 29 |
| 12 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 29 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 26 |
| 16 | Leeds | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 22 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | West Ham | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 14 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 13 |
| 20 | Wolves | 21 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Man United
- Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
Man City
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Man United
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.25
# Clean Sheets:
1
Man City
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.25
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Manchester United and Manchester City is predicted to favor the visitors, with a 50.0% probability of the away team, Manchester City, securing a victory. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is pegged at 55.0%. As it stands, Manchester City is positioned 2nd in the Premier League, while Manchester United sits in 7th place.
Match Analysis
Manchester United's recent form has been marked by a series of draws, having tied all three of their last matches against Burnley, Leeds, and Wolves. During these games, United scored four goals and conceded four, reflecting a balanced, albeit unremarkable, performance. Their advanced metrics show they have an average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded in their last five matches, with an expected goals metric suggesting they should be scoring more.
On the other hand, Manchester City also finds themselves on a streak of draws, with their last three games against Brighton, Chelsea, and Sunderland ending evenly. City scored only two goals across these matches but maintained a solid defense, conceding just two. Their average goals scored in the last five games stand at 2.2, with a higher expected goal rate indicating potential for more attacking potency. Their defense has been resilient, achieving two clean sheets in the last five matches.
Final Prediction
Manchester City appears to have the edge due to their higher average goal-scoring record and stronger league position. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could prove decisive against a United side struggling to convert opportunities. A key factor to watch will be City's attacking drive, which, if capitalized upon, could see them secure the win.