Premier League 2025-2026: Man United vs Newcastle Prediction

Man United

Home Team
54%
VS

Newcastle

Away Team
23%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 10 21 39
2 Man City 17 12 1 4 41 16 25 37
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 18 9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 17 12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 25 3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 17 2 27
7 Man United 17 7 5 5 31 28 3 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 19 2 26
9 Brighton 17 6 6 5 25 23 2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle 17 6 5 6 23 22 1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham 17 6 4 7 26 23 3 22
15 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 29 -3 22
16 Leeds 17 5 4 8 24 31 -7 19
17 Nott'm Forest 17 5 3 9 17 26 -9 18
18 West Ham 17 3 4 10 19 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 34 -15 11
20 Wolves 17 0 2 15 9 37 -28 2

Recent Trends

Man United ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 4 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Wolves (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)

Newcastle ⚪ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Everton (Goals: 4 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man United

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 0

Newcastle

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Manchester United and Newcastle United is anticipated to lean in favor of the home side, with a 54.0% probability of Manchester United securing a victory. Newcastle United's chances of winning stand at 23.0%, the same probability as a draw. With the Red Devils sitting 7th and the Magpies in 11th place in the Premier League standings, the encounter promises excitement. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is also 54.0%, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Manchester United has experienced a mixed bag of results. Their last three games include a win against Wolves, a high-scoring draw with Bournemouth, and a loss to Aston Villa. Notably, United's attack has been productive, averaging 2.2 goals per game over the last five matches, but their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Despite these defensive frailties, their expected goals metrics suggest they have been creating quality chances, with an average of 2.33 expected goals scored. On the other hand, Newcastle United's form has been somewhat inconsistent. They managed a draw against Chelsea, suffered a narrow defeat to Sunderland, and secured a win over Burnley. While their average goals scored per game stands at 1.4, they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their recent outings. This defensive record could be a cause for concern as they face a Manchester United side capable of capitalizing on defensive lapses. Newcastle's expected goals statistics indicate a lower attacking threat, averaging 0.972 expected goals scored.

Final Prediction

Manchester United's attacking prowess and home advantage provide them with a slight edge in this fixture. Their ability to generate scoring opportunities has been evident, which might prove decisive against a Newcastle side struggling defensively. Fans should keep an eye on Manchester United's forward line, as their capacity to exploit defensive weaknesses could be a key factor in determining the outcome of this match.