Premier League 2025-2026: Newcastle vs Tottenham Prediction
Newcastle
Home Team
73%
VS
Tottenham
Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Man City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Brighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Man United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Newcastle
- Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
Tottenham
- Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Newcastle
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.35
# Clean Sheets:
0
Tottenham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.47
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Newcastle and Tottenham is heavily tipped in favor of the home side, with Newcastle holding a 73.0% probability of victory. The game is predicted to finish under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair. Both teams are currently tied in the Premier League standings at 18 points, sitting in the 12th and 13th positions respectively, with only goal difference setting them apart.
Match Analysis
Newcastle enters this fixture on the back of a strong run, securing two wins in their last three outings, including an impressive 2-1 victory against Manchester City. Their recent form displays a mixed performance with a surprising 4-1 win against Everton away from home but a setback with a 3-1 loss to Brentford. Newcastle's recent games highlight their offensive strength, averaging 1.6 goals over the last five matches, while their defense has been moderately sturdy, conceding an average of 0.8 goals.
Tottenham, on the other hand, has struggled lately, with no wins in their last three matches. They suffered defeats against Fulham and Arsenal, while managing a draw against Manchester United. Despite their inconsistent results, they have been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.2 goals over their last five fixtures. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. The advanced metrics reveal that Newcastle has been creating more scoring opportunities with an average of 2.186 expected goals, compared to Tottenham's 1.102.
Final Prediction
Newcastle's recent form and superior goal-scoring opportunities give them a clear advantage in this contest. Their ability to convert chances and a solid defensive record put them in a strong position to secure a win. A key factor to watch will be Newcastle's ability to capitalize on their expected goals, which could be pivotal in breaking down Tottenham's defense.