Premier League 2025-2026: Nott'm Forest vs Chelsea Prediction
Nott'm Forest
Home Team
21%
VS
Chelsea
Away Team
63%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Man City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Man United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Brighton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Fulham | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Burnley | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Nott'm Forest
- Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 0 - 3)
Chelsea
- Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nott'm Forest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.84
# Clean Sheets:
0
Chelsea
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.17
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nott'm Forest and Chelsea is predicted to tilt in favor of the visitors, with Chelsea holding a strong 63% probability of victory. In contrast, Nott'm Forest has a 21% chance to clinch the win, while a draw stands at 17%. With Chelsea currently positioned 7th in the Premier League standings, they appear more formidable against Nott'm Forest, who are languishing in 17th position. The game is also anticipated to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 51% probability, suggesting an open and attacking contest.
Match Analysis
Nott'm Forest enters this fixture struggling to find form, having failed to secure a win in their last three matches. With a draw against Burnley and losses to Newcastle and Sunderland, the team appears to be on a downward trajectory. Their scoring has been particularly concerning, managing only one goal in the recent outings, while defensively they have conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game over their last five matches. The lack of clean sheets further emphasizes their vulnerability at the back.
On the other hand, Chelsea has experienced a mixed bag of results recently. A notable victory over Liverpool showcased their attacking prowess, but subsequent losses to Brighton and Manchester United highlighted defensive frailties. Chelsea's attacking metrics are impressive, with an average of 2.67 goals scored per game in their last five encounters. Despite conceding the same average number of goals as Nott'm Forest, Chelsea's expected goals and clean sheet statistics suggest a more resilient defense.
Final Prediction
Chelsea's superior attacking form and overall team metrics give them the edge over Nott'm Forest in this encounter. The key factor to watch will be Chelsea's offensive strength, as they look to exploit Nott'm Forest's defensive weaknesses. With both teams needing points for different reasons, Chelsea's ability to capitalize on their scoring chances could be decisive in securing an important victory.