Premier League 2025-2026: Nott'm Forest vs Leeds Prediction
Nott'm Forest
Home Team
34%
VS
Leeds
Away Team
43%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Man United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolves | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Nott'm Forest
- Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 1)
Leeds
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nott'm Forest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.80
# Clean Sheets:
0
Leeds
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.72
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nott'm Forest and Leeds is set to be a tightly contested affair, with Leeds slightly favored to secure a victory. The probability of an away win stands at 43.0%, while the chance of a Nott'm Forest victory is 34.0%. A draw is less likely at 23.0%. With both teams struggling to find the back of the net in recent matches, the game is predicted to feature under 2.5 goals. Currently, Nott'm Forest sits in 19th place, while Leeds is 16th in the Premier League standings.
Match Analysis
Examining recent performances, Nott'm Forest is in a challenging period. They have managed just one point from their last three matches, drawing 2-2 against Man United and suffering defeats against Bournemouth and Chelsea. Despite a respectable draw against Man United, scoring remains a concern, having found the net only twice in these outings. Their defensive vulnerabilities are also evident, conceding seven goals across the same period.
Leeds, on the other hand, have also faced difficulties, securing a solitary win against West Ham, but losing to Brighton and Burnley. Their attack has been somewhat blunted, scoring only twice in their last three games while conceding six. In terms of advanced metrics, Leeds has averaged just 0.6 goals per game in their last five, with an expected goals of 0.828, indicating struggles in converting chances.
Final Prediction
Leeds is predicted to edge out Nott'm Forest primarily due to their slightly better league standing and recent victory. The key factor to watch will be whether either team can break their scoring slump, with Leeds' ability to capitalize on Nott'm Forest's defensive frailties being crucial. Given both teams' current form, this encounter promises to be a battle of attrition as they each look to climb the league table.