Premier League 2025-2026: Sunderland vs Bournemouth Prediction
Sunderland
Home Team
25%
VS
Bournemouth
Away Team
56%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Man City | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Brighton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 10 | Man United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Everton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Fulham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Sunderland
- Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 0)
Bournemouth
- Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 3 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sunderland
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.28
# Clean Sheets:
1
Bournemouth
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.23
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Sunderland and Bournemouth is predicted to favor the away team, with a 56.0% probability of Bournemouth securing a victory. With Sunderland's chances of victory at 25.0%, Bournemouth holds a significant edge. The probability of a draw stands at 19.0%. Currently, both teams are neck and neck in the Premier League standings, with Sunderland sitting at 7th and Bournemouth at 8th, each with 19 points. The prediction leans towards a game with under 2.5 goals, with a 45% probability suggesting a low-scoring affair.
Match Analysis
Sunderland enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent performances. Drawing against Arsenal and Everton at home, they managed to secure a point in each, but their away loss to Fulham shows inconsistency. Across their last five matches, they scored an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.0. Their expected goals metrics indicate they are generating decent chances, with an average of 1.182 expected goals per game, although they have only maintained one clean sheet recently.
Bournemouth, on the other hand, has struggled defensively in their recent outings. Despite drawing 2-2 with West Ham, they suffered heavy defeats to Aston Villa and Manchester City, conceding a total of seven goals in those two matches. Their average goals conceded stands at 2.4, which could be a major concern in this matchup. Offensively, they average 1.4 goals per game, with an expected goals tally of 1.628, indicating their ability to create scoring opportunities, albeit not consistently capitalizing on them.
Final Prediction
Bournemouth's edge in this encounter largely stems from their superior attacking potential, as evidenced by their higher expected goals compared to Sunderland. Despite both teams being evenly matched in the league standings, Bournemouth's capacity to generate scoring opportunities might give them the upper hand. A key factor to watch will be how Sunderland's defense, which has shown some resilience, handles Bournemouth's attacking threats, as this could ultimately decide the outcome of the game.