Premier League 2025-2026: Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Sunderland
Home Team
20%
VS
Crystal Palace
Away Team
64%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 49 |
| 2 | Man City | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | Brentford | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Man United | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 32 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 31 |
| 9 | Fulham | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Brighton | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 29 |
| 12 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 29 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 26 |
| 16 | Leeds | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 22 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | West Ham | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 14 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 13 |
| 20 | Wolves | 21 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Sunderland
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 0)
Crystal Palace
- Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sunderland
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.87
# Clean Sheets:
2
Crystal Palace
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.85
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Crystal Palace is the favored team to win the upcoming encounter against Sunderland, boasting a substantial 64.0% probability of victory. Sunderland, meanwhile, holds a lesser chance with a 20.0% probability of success. Fans can also anticipate a low-scoring affair, as the likelihood of under 2.5 goals stands at 53.0%. In terms of league standings, Sunderland sits at 10th place, while Crystal Palace trails slightly behind in 13th place.
Match Analysis
Sunderland has had a mixed run in their recent fixtures. After a tough 0-3 loss to Brentford away from home, they managed to hold Tottenham to a 1-1 draw, followed by a resilient goalless draw against Man City on home turf. Notably, Sunderland has been defensively solid with two clean sheets in their last five games. However, they struggle offensively, averaging only 0.954 expected goals in their recent matches, which could impact their ability to break down Crystal Palace's defense.
Crystal Palace, on the other hand, has also faced challenges recently. They've settled for draws against Aston Villa (0-0) and Fulham (1-1) while suffering a 0-2 defeat to Newcastle. The Eagles have managed an average of 1.2 goals scored in their last five outings, slightly more than Sunderland. Yet, they have conceded 1.4 goals on average, indicating potential vulnerabilities at the back. Their expected goals statistics show a promising 1.392, suggesting they can create opportunities, but converting them remains crucial.
Final Prediction
Crystal Palace's higher probability of winning is underpinned by their ability to generate more scoring chances compared to Sunderland, as indicated by their expected goals. A key factor to watch will be Crystal Palace's offensive execution; if they can capitalize on their chances, it could be the decisive edge they need to secure the win. Keep an eye on how Sunderland's defense holds up against Crystal Palace's attacking efforts.