Premier League 2025-2026: Sunderland vs Everton Prediction

Sunderland

Home Team
45%
VS

Everton

Away Team
28%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 7 1 1 16 3 13 22
2 Bournemouth 9 5 3 1 16 11 5 18
3 Tottenham 9 5 2 2 17 7 10 17
4 Sunderland 9 5 2 2 11 7 4 17
5 Man City 9 5 1 3 17 7 10 16
6 Man United 9 5 1 3 15 14 1 16
7 Liverpool 9 5 0 4 16 14 2 15
8 Aston Villa 9 4 3 2 9 8 1 15
9 Chelsea 9 4 2 3 17 11 6 14
10 Crystal Palace 9 3 4 2 12 9 3 13
11 Brentford 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13
12 Newcastle 9 3 3 3 9 8 1 12
13 Brighton 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
14 Everton 9 3 2 4 9 12 -3 11
15 Leeds 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
16 Burnley 9 3 1 5 12 17 -5 10
17 Fulham 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 5 17 -12 5
19 West Ham 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4
20 Wolves 9 0 2 7 7 19 -12 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sunderland

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.91
# Clean Sheets: 2

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sunderland and Everton is predicted to favor the home team, with a 45.0% probability of Sunderland claiming victory. In contrast, Everton stands at a 28.0% chance of winning, while the odds of a draw are slightly lower at 27.0%. Currently, Sunderland is performing admirably in the league, holding the 4th position, whereas Everton finds themselves further down the table in 14th place. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a 41.0% probability of under 2.5 goals, and there's a 49.0% chance that the game will not see both teams scoring.

Match Analysis

Sunderland enters this fixture on the back of a mixed set of results in their last three matches. They managed to secure impressive wins against Chelsea and Wolves, showcasing their ability to perform both at home and away. However, a defeat against Manchester United reveals vulnerabilities that could be exploited. Sunderland's recent form is underpinned by solid defensive displays, having kept two clean sheets in their last five games, while also maintaining an average of 2.0 goals scored per game. On the other hand, Everton has faced challenges in their recent outings. A heavy home defeat to Tottenham and an away loss to Manchester City highlight their defensive frailties, as they conceded five goals across these games. Their 2-1 victory over Crystal Palace offers a glimmer of hope, but their average of 1.75 goals conceded per game in the last five matches points towards persistent defensive issues. Despite scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game, their lack of clean sheets emphasizes a need for improvement at the back.

Final Prediction

Sunderland holds the edge in this encounter, primarily due to their recent form and stronger league position. Their ability to score goals consistently, coupled with a solid defensive record, positions them favorably against an Everton side that has struggled defensively. Fans should keep an eye on Sunderland's attacking play, as their ability to break down Everton's defense could be the decisive factor in securing a home victory.