Premier League 2025-2026: Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction
Sunderland
Home Team
39%
VS
Leeds
Away Team
35%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
| 2 | Man City | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 16 | 25 | 37 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 36 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 27 |
| 7 | Man United | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | Brighton | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Everton | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
| 12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Fulham | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 22 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
| 16 | Leeds | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 18 | West Ham | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Wolves | 17 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 37 | -28 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Sunderland
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 2)
Leeds
- Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sunderland
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.20
# Clean Sheets:
2
Leeds
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.84
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Sunderland and Leeds is anticipated to be a tightly contested affair, with Sunderland holding a slight edge. The probability of Sunderland securing a victory stands at 39.0%, while Leeds has a 35.0% chance of winning. The match is predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% probability favoring an under_2_5 result. Currently, Sunderland sits at 6th place in the Premier League, while Leeds is positioned at 16th.
Match Analysis
Sunderland has shown a mixed bag of results in their last three outings. They come off a goalless draw against Brighton, a robust 1-0 win over Newcastle, and a challenging 0-3 loss to Man City. Notably, their defensive efforts have been commendable, keeping two clean sheets in their last five games. With an average of 1.8 goals scored per game and a solid defensive record, Sunderland looks set to capitalize on their home advantage.
On the other hand, Leeds has exhibited resilience in their recent performances. They achieved a remarkable 4-1 victory over Crystal Palace, followed by two hard-fought draws against Brentford and Liverpool. Despite their offensive prowess, averaging 0.8 goals per game, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. Leeds' expected goals statistic indicates potential for improvement, but their lack of clean sheets could be a vulnerability.
Final Prediction
Sunderland's home advantage, coupled with their recent defensive solidity, provides them with a slight edge in this encounter against Leeds. Fans should keep an eye on Sunderland's ability to convert chances while maintaining their defensive discipline. The key factor to watch will be how Leeds manages to breach Sunderland's defense, given their recent goal-scoring exploits.