Premier League 2025-2026: Tottenham vs Liverpool Prediction

Tottenham

Home Team
13%
VS

Liverpool

Away Team
73%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 30 10 20 36
2 Man City 16 11 1 4 38 16 22 34
3 Aston Villa 16 10 3 3 25 17 8 33
4 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 27 15 12 28
5 Crystal Palace 16 7 5 4 20 15 5 26
6 Man United 16 7 5 4 30 26 4 26
7 Liverpool 16 8 2 6 26 24 2 26
8 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 19 17 2 26
9 Everton 16 7 3 6 18 19 -1 24
10 Brighton 16 6 5 5 25 23 2 23
11 Tottenham 16 6 4 6 25 21 4 22
12 Newcastle 16 6 4 6 21 20 1 22
13 Bournemouth 16 5 6 5 25 28 -3 21
14 Fulham 16 6 2 8 23 26 -3 20
15 Brentford 16 6 2 8 22 25 -3 20
16 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 17 25 -8 18
17 Leeds 16 4 4 8 20 30 -10 16
18 West Ham 16 3 4 9 19 32 -13 13
19 Burnley 16 3 1 12 18 33 -15 10
20 Wolves 16 0 2 14 9 35 -26 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.09
# Clean Sheets: 1

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Liverpool is heavily favored to triumph over Tottenham, with a commanding 73.0% probability of winning. Conversely, Tottenham's chances stand at a mere 13.0%, mirroring the likelihood of a draw. The prediction foresees fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% chance of this outcome. In terms of league standings, Liverpool sits at 7th with 26 points, while Tottenham lags behind in 11th with 22 points.

Match Analysis

Recent performances highlight contrasting fortunes for both teams. Tottenham's form has been inconsistent, with a loss to Nottingham Forest, a win against Brentford, and a draw with Newcastle. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having conceded five goals in these three matches. On the other hand, Liverpool has shown resilience, with a win over Brighton and draws against Leeds and Sunderland. Despite conceding numerous goals recently, their ability to score remains a constant strength. Key metrics shed light on the teams' potential impact. Tottenham averages 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.4, indicating a slightly porous defense. Their expected goals statistics suggest they underperform slightly in attack. Liverpool, conversely, averages 1.6 goals per game but concedes 2.2, a defensive concern they would aim to rectify. Their expected goals metrics, however, indicate they are more potent in attack, which could prove decisive.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's superior attacking prowess gives them the edge in this encounter. Their ability to score, coupled with Tottenham's defensive frailties, suggests they are well-equipped to secure victory. A key factor to watch will be how both teams manage their defensive lines, as any lapses could decisively influence the game's outcome.