Premier League 2025-2026: West Ham vs Brentford Prediction

West Ham

Home Team
22%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
61%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 14 3 11 16
2 Liverpool 7 5 0 2 13 9 4 15
3 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 13 5 8 14
4 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 11 8 3 14
5 Man City 7 4 1 2 15 6 9 13
6 Crystal Palace 7 3 3 1 9 5 4 12
7 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 13 9 4 11
8 Everton 7 3 2 2 9 7 2 11
9 Sunderland 7 3 2 2 7 6 1 11
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 9 11 -2 10
11 Newcastle 7 2 3 2 6 5 1 9
12 Brighton 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
13 Aston Villa 7 2 3 2 6 7 -1 9
14 Fulham 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
15 Leeds 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8
16 Brentford 7 2 1 4 9 12 -3 7
17 Nott'm Forest 7 1 2 4 5 12 -7 5
18 Burnley 7 1 1 5 7 15 -8 4
19 West Ham 7 1 1 5 6 16 -10 4
20 Wolves 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.60
# Clean Sheets: 1

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.62
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between West Ham and Brentford is predicted to favor the visitors, with Brentford having a 61.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, West Ham's chances of securing a victory stand at 22.0%, and the likelihood of a draw is at 17.0%. The game is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 52.0% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. In the current Premier League standings, West Ham is struggling in the relegation zone at 19th place, while Brentford occupies the 16th spot, offering them a slight edge.

Match Analysis

West Ham's recent performances have been less than inspiring, with a string of unfavorable results. They suffered a 2-0 defeat against Arsenal, drew 1-1 with Everton, and faced a 2-1 loss against Crystal Palace. These outcomes highlight their defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded an average of 3.33 goals per game over their last five matches. Their attack has not been prolific either, averaging just 0.67 goals per game. Despite some expected goal metrics suggesting they could score more, West Ham has struggled to convert opportunities into goals. Brentford, on the other hand, presents a mixed bag of results. They managed an impressive 3-1 win over Manchester United but lost 1-0 to Manchester City and 3-1 to Fulham. Their offensive capabilities, with an average of 1.0 goals scored per game in recent matches, are backed by their expected goals metric of 1.20. However, defensively, they have been porous, allowing an average of 2.67 goals per game. Despite their defensive struggles, Brentford's ability to score, particularly against weaker defenses, could be pivotal.

Final Prediction

Brentford's predicted victory is largely due to their superior offensive performance and West Ham's alarming defensive record. West Ham's inability to keep clean sheets, coupled with Brentford's attacking potential, gives the visitors a significant advantage. A key factor to watch during the game will be how West Ham's defense copes with Brentford's forward momentum, which could ultimately determine the outcome.