Premier League 2025-2026: West Ham vs Liverpool Prediction

West Ham

Home Team
6%
VS

Liverpool

Away Team
88%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 24 6 18 29
2 Chelsea 12 7 2 3 23 11 12 23
3 Man City 12 7 1 4 24 10 14 22
4 Aston Villa 12 6 3 3 15 11 4 21
5 Crystal Palace 12 5 5 2 16 9 7 20
6 Brighton 12 5 4 3 19 16 3 19
7 Sunderland 12 5 4 3 14 11 3 19
8 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 19 20 -1 19
9 Tottenham 12 5 3 4 20 14 6 18
10 Man United 12 5 3 4 19 19 0 18
11 Everton 12 5 3 4 13 13 0 18
12 Liverpool 12 6 0 6 18 20 -2 18
13 Brentford 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
14 Newcastle 12 4 3 5 13 15 -2 15
15 Fulham 12 4 2 6 13 16 -3 14
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 20 -7 12
17 West Ham 12 3 2 7 15 25 -10 11
18 Leeds 12 3 2 7 11 22 -11 11
19 Burnley 12 3 1 8 14 24 -10 10
20 Wolves 12 0 2 10 7 27 -20 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.94
# Clean Sheets: 0

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.96
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between West Ham and Liverpool is heavily tilted in favor of Liverpool, with an 88.0% probability of the away team securing a win. West Ham, sitting precariously in 17th place, faces a daunting task against 12th-placed Liverpool. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 60.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

West Ham's recent form shows a glimmer of resilience, with their last three matches yielding two wins and a draw. They managed a hard-fought draw against Bournemouth and secured victories against Burnley and Newcastle, displaying a knack for scoring with five goals in those wins. However, their defensive frailties are evident, as they've conceded an average of two goals per game in their last five outings. This vulnerability could be a decisive factor against Liverpool's attacking capabilities. Liverpool, on the other hand, has experienced mixed fortunes in their recent fixtures. After suffering back-to-back 3-0 defeats against Nottingham Forest and Manchester City, they bounced back with a solid 2-0 win over Aston Villa. Despite the recent losses, Liverpool's underlying metrics suggest potential for goal-scoring opportunities, with an average expected goals of 2.22 per game. While they share a similar defensive record to West Ham in terms of goals conceded, Liverpool's offensive firepower could prove crucial against a leaky West Ham defense.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's superior attacking potential and West Ham's defensive lapses give the visitors a significant edge in this matchup. Fans should keep an eye on Liverpool's ability to capitalize on scoring chances, as this could be the key factor that dictates the game's outcome. With both teams prone to conceding, an open and entertaining match is on the cards.