Premier League 2025-2026: Wolves vs Burnley Prediction
Wolves
Home Team
88%
VS
Burnley
Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
49%
No Goal:
51%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Man City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Man United | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Brighton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Everton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Brentford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Burnley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Nott'm Forest | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Wolves
- Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 1)
Burnley
- Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 5)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Wolves
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.55
# Clean Sheets:
0
Burnley
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.74
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Wolves and Burnley is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with an 88% probability of a Wolves victory. In contrast, Burnley’s chances stand at a mere 5%, with a draw at 7%. Currently, Wolves are languishing at the bottom of the Premier League in 20th place, whereas Burnley is slightly better off in 17th position. The match is predicted to see less than 2.5 goals, with a 49% probability pointing towards a low-scoring encounter.
Match Analysis
Wolves have struggled recently, without a win in their last three matches, drawing two and losing one. They battled to draws against Brighton and Tottenham, both ending 1-1, but succumbed to a 2-0 defeat against Sunderland. Despite their poor run, Wolves have shown some defensive resilience by managing to hold off more prominent teams to draws. However, their lack of firepower is evident, with an average of just 1.0 goal scored per game in their last five outings, compounded by an inability to keep a clean sheet.
Burnley, on the other hand, claimed a rare victory against Leeds with a solid 2-0 performance at home. Yet, they have been inconsistent, suffering defeats at the hands of Aston Villa (2-1) and Man City (5-1). Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 3.25 goals in their last five games, despite their capability to hold their ground offensively with 1.0 goal per game. This inconsistency is reflected in their advanced metrics, showing a significant gap between goals conceded and expected goals conceded, which stands at 2.74.
Final Prediction
Wolves are predicted to have the upper hand, largely due to Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities. Their slightly better expected goals conceded metric suggests a more organized structure at the back compared to Burnley's leaky defense. A key factor to watch is whether Wolves can capitalize on Burnley’s defensive lapses to secure a much-needed victory.