Premier League 2025-2026: Wolves vs Nott'm Forest Prediction
Wolves
Home Team
48%
VS
Nott'm Forest
Away Team
28%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Man City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Brighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Man United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Wolves
- Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 3)
Nott'm Forest
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Wolves
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.38
# Clean Sheets:
0
Nott'm Forest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.06
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Wolves and Nottingham Forest is predicted to favor the home team, with a 48.0% probability of Wolves securing a victory. The chances of the match featuring over 2.5 goals stand at 52.0%, suggesting an action-packed encounter. Currently, Wolves find themselves at the bottom of the Premier League table in 20th place, while Nottingham Forest sits just a few spots above in 16th.
Match Analysis
Wolves are in a dire situation, having lost all of their last three matches without scoring a single goal. Their recent performances against Aston Villa, Crystal Palace, and Chelsea demonstrate a troubling trend of defensive frailties, conceding a total of six goals. Despite an average of 1.424 expected goals per game in their last five matches, Wolves' inability to convert chances into goals has been a significant issue.
In contrast, Nottingham Forest have displayed a mixed bag of results. After a solid victory against Liverpool and a win over Leeds, they stumbled against Brighton. Forest's average goals per game sit at 0.8, with a notable clean sheet against Liverpool highlighting their potential to spring surprises. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding on average 1.6 goals per game, which could be exploited by Wolves.
Final Prediction
Wolves' prediction as the likely winners is rooted in their need to capitalize on home advantage and their slightly higher chance of converting chances, as indicated by their expected goals metric. A key factor to watch will be whether Wolves can break their goal drought and leverage Nottingham Forest's defensive vulnerabilities to climb out of the relegation zone.