Serie A 2025-2026: Atalanta vs Inter Prediction
Atalanta
Home Team
23%
VS
Inter
Away Team
58%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Atalanta
- Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 3)
Inter
- Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Atalanta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.13
# Clean Sheets:
2
Inter
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.28
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Atalanta and Inter is predicted to favor the visitors, with a 58.0% probability of Inter clinching victory. Atalanta, currently sitting in 9th place in Serie A, has a 23.0% chance of upsetting the league leaders. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 50.0% probability of under 2.5 goals. With Inter standing at the top of the league, this game could further solidify their position.
Match Analysis
Atalanta's recent form shows a mixed bag of results, having secured two wins against Genoa and Cagliari, but succumbing to a 3-1 defeat to Verona. The team's offense has been modest, averaging just 1.0 goal per game over their last five matches, despite generating an expected goals figure of 1.95. Their defense, however, has been relatively solid, with two clean sheets in the last five outings and an average of 1.128 expected goals conceded.
Inter, on the other hand, has been on a strong run, winning all three of their recent matches against Genoa, Como, and Pisa, showcasing their attacking prowess with an average of 1.6 goals per game. Their defensive record is also commendable, with three clean sheets in their last five matches. Inter's expected goals metrics support their recent performances, with 1.654 goals scored and 1.284 conceded on average, indicating a well-rounded team ready to maintain their top position.
Final Prediction
Inter's recent form and statistical edge give them a significant advantage in this encounter. Their ability to score consistently and maintain defensive solidity provides them with the upper hand against Atalanta. A key factor to watch during the game will be Inter's attacking efficiency, which could prove decisive in breaking down Atalanta's defense.