Serie A 2024-2025: Atalanta vs Roma Prediction

Atalanta

Home Team
77%
VS

Roma

Away Team
10%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
16 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15

Recent Trends

Atalanta ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)

Roma ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.03
# Clean Sheets: 3

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.82
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Atalanta is predicted to come out victorious in their upcoming Serie A clash against Roma, with a commanding 77.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Roma's chances stand at a mere 10.0%, indicating a challenging away game for them. The likelihood of a draw is 13.0%. Despite both teams' potential for scoring, the odds favor the match ending with under 2.5 goals. Atalanta currently sits in third place with 68 points, while Roma is in fifth with 63 points, both teams vying for a strong finish in the standings.

Match Analysis

Atalanta's recent form has been solid, securing two wins and a draw in their last three encounters. Their most impressive performance came with a 4-0 away victory against Monza. However, their draw against Lecce at home highlighted some potential vulnerabilities. Atalanta's defense has been stringent, with three clean sheets in their last five matches, and their expected goals metrics suggest they create ample scoring opportunities. Roma, on the other hand, are on a winning streak, having won all their last three games 1-0. Their victories against Fiorentina, Inter, and Verona showcase a resilient defense that has kept three clean sheets in the same span. Roma's advanced metrics indicate they have been efficient in converting chances, with a higher average number of expected goals scored compared to Atalanta, highlighting their attacking potential.

Final Prediction

Atalanta's home advantage and robust recent performances give them an edge over Roma. Their ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities while generating their own will be crucial. A key factor to watch will be Atalanta's ability to break through Roma's steadfast defense, especially given both teams' recent clean sheet records. With both sides aiming for European competition next season, this clash promises to be a pivotal encounter.