Serie A 2025-2026: Bologna vs Atalanta Prediction

Bologna

Home Team
25%
VS

Atalanta

Away Team
55%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 13 0 4 38 15 23 39
2 Milan 17 11 5 1 28 13 15 38
3 Napoli 17 12 1 4 26 13 13 37
4 Juventus 18 9 6 3 24 16 8 33
5 Roma 18 11 0 7 20 12 8 33
6 Como 17 8 6 3 23 12 11 30
7 Bologna 17 7 5 5 25 17 8 26
8 Atalanta 18 6 7 5 21 19 2 25
9 Lazio 18 6 6 6 18 14 4 24
10 Sassuolo 18 6 5 7 23 22 1 23
11 Torino 18 6 5 7 20 28 -8 23
12 Udinese 18 6 4 8 18 29 -11 22
13 Cremonese 18 5 6 7 18 21 -3 21
14 Parma 17 4 6 7 12 19 -7 18
15 Cagliari 18 4 6 8 19 25 -6 18
16 Lecce 17 4 5 8 12 23 -11 17
17 Genoa 18 3 6 9 18 28 -10 15
18 Verona 17 2 6 9 13 28 -15 12
19 Fiorentina 18 2 6 10 18 28 -10 12
20 Pisa 18 1 9 8 13 25 -12 12

Recent Trends

Bologna ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 3)

Atalanta ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 0

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.26
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bologna and Atalanta sees Atalanta as the predicted winner, with a 55.0% probability. The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with fewer than 2.5 goals likely to be scored. In the Serie A standings, Bologna sits in 7th place with 26 points, while Atalanta is closely behind in 8th place with 25 points.

Match Analysis

Bologna's recent form has been inconsistent, with a draw against Sassuolo sandwiched between defeats to Inter and Juventus. They have struggled to find the back of the net, scoring just 0.8 goals on average in their last five games. Defensively, they have not managed a clean sheet in the same period, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. Their expected goals stats suggest they are creating decent chances, with an average of 1.2 expected goals per game. Atalanta, on the other hand, has shown resilience with victories against Roma and Genoa, although they suffered a narrow defeat to Inter. They have matched Bologna's goal-scoring average of 0.8 but have been slightly more vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.6 goals on average over the last five matches. However, their defense has held firm in two games, achieving clean sheets. Their expected goals data indicates they are generating quality scoring opportunities, with an average of 1.252 expected goals.

Final Prediction

Atalanta's edge in this matchup comes from their recent victories and ability to secure clean sheets, suggesting a more stable defensive setup. One key factor to watch during the game is Atalanta's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, which could be the difference-maker against Bologna's struggling attack.