Serie A 2025-2026: Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction
Cagliari
Home Team
32%
VS
Genoa
Away Team
45%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Cagliari
- Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Cagliari
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.83
# Clean Sheets:
1
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.67
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Genoa is predicted to tilt in favor of Genoa with a 45.0% probability of an away win. Cagliari holds a 32.0% chance of securing a victory at home, while a draw stands at 23.0%. With both teams languishing in the lower half of the Serie A standings—Cagliari at 14th and Genoa at 18th—the matchup is expected to be a closely contested affair. The prediction for a low-scoring encounter is supported by a 45.0% probability of under 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Cagliari has struggled to find form, managing only two points from their last three games. Their recent results include a goalless draw against Como and losses to Lazio and Sassuolo, indicating challenges both in attack and defense. Cagliari's average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game in the last five matches underlines their ongoing struggle to balance offensive and defensive duties.
Genoa, on the other hand, has shown slight improvement with four points from their last three matches. They secured a crucial away win against Sassuolo and fought to a draw with Fiorentina but suffered a home loss to Cremonese. Genoa's offensive output has been slightly better than Cagliari's, averaging 1.2 goals over the last five games, but their defense remains a concern with an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match. Both teams have only managed one clean sheet each in their last five games, highlighting potential vulnerabilities at the back.
Final Prediction
Genoa's slight edge in offensive capabilities, evidenced by their higher goal-scoring average, positions them as the favorites to claim victory in this encounter. Football fans should keep an eye on Genoa's attack, which has shown glimpses of promise in recent outings, as they look to capitalize on Cagliari's defensive frailties. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to climb away from the relegation zone, and a tight contest is expected.