Serie A 2025-2026: Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction

Cagliari

Home Team
2%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
95%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 14 1 4 42 17 25 43
2 Milan 19 11 7 1 30 15 15 40
3 Napoli 19 12 3 4 30 17 13 39
4 Juventus 20 11 6 3 32 16 16 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 12 39
6 Como 19 9 7 3 27 13 14 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 6 31
8 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 5 28
9 Bologna 19 7 6 6 26 20 6 27
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
14 Parma 19 5 6 8 14 22 -8 21
15 Genoa 20 4 7 9 22 29 -7 19
16 Cagliari 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19
17 Lecce 19 4 5 10 13 27 -14 17
18 Fiorentina 20 2 8 10 21 31 -10 14
19 Verona 19 2 7 10 15 31 -16 13
20 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 0

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.93
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Juventus is heavily tilted in favor of the away team, Juventus, with a commanding 95.0% probability of victory. The chances of a draw stand at a slim 3.0%, while Cagliari's chances of causing an upset are a mere 2.0%. Juventus, currently sitting fourth in Serie A, are strong contenders for a Champions League spot, while Cagliari languishes in 16th place, fighting to avoid relegation. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest despite Juventus' dominance.

Match Analysis

Cagliari's recent form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last three matches. They suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat against Genoa, managed a 2-2 draw with Cremonese, and narrowly lost 1-0 at home to Milan. Key metrics indicate that Cagliari concedes more goals than they score, averaging 1.6 goals against per game in their last five outings compared to 1.4 goals scored. Moreover, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their recent matches, which spells trouble against a potent Juventus attack. Juventus, on the other hand, have been in fine form, securing two wins and a draw in their last three games. They unleashed a goal-fest against Cremonese, winning 5-0, followed by a solid 3-0 away victory against Sassuolo. A 1-1 draw against Lecce was the only blemish. With an average of 1.6 goals scored per game and a robust defense conceding just 0.6 goals per game, Juventus are well-equipped to handle Cagliari. Their ability to keep clean sheets, as evidenced by three in their last five matches, further bolsters their chances.

Final Prediction

Juventus' superior form and defensive solidity give them a significant edge over Cagliari. Their consistent goal-scoring ability, combined with a tight defense, makes them formidable opponents. A key factor to watch will be Juventus' ability to break down Cagliari's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities in recent matches. This encounter promises to test Cagliari's resolve as they strive to stave off relegation fears.