Serie A 2025-2026: Cagliari vs Milan Prediction
Cagliari
Home Team
7%
VS
Milan
Away Team
86%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Milan | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Roma | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Juventus | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Como | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Lazio | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 24 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Udinese | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 22 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Parma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Cagliari
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Cagliari
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.24
# Clean Sheets:
1
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.21
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Milan heavily favors the visiting team, with Milan having an 86.0% probability of securing a victory. In contrast, Cagliari holds a significantly lesser chance of winning at just 7.0%. The prediction also suggests a game with fewer than 2.5 goals, as the probability of such an outcome stands at 43.0%. Milan is currently well-positioned in the Serie A table, sitting second with 35 points, while Cagliari finds themselves in 14th place with 18 points.
Match Analysis
Over the last three games, Cagliari's form has been mixed, with a win, a draw, and a loss. They managed a commendable 2-1 away win against Torino but followed it up with a 2-2 home draw against Pisa and a narrow 2-1 defeat to Atalanta. Cagliari has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings, although they have shown some attacking promise with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match.
Milan, on the other hand, has exhibited stronger form. They secured a convincing 3-0 victory against Verona and a solid 3-2 win over Torino, alongside a 2-2 draw with Sassuolo. Milan's defensive solidity is evident with three clean sheets in their last five matches, and they have been equally effective in attack, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their expected goals statistics also reflect their potential to create scoring opportunities, averaging 1.44 expected goals per game.
Final Prediction
Milan's superior form, both offensively and defensively, provides them with a clear advantage over Cagliari in this matchup. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring chances makes them the likelier team to secure victory. Fans should watch out for Milan's organized defense, which could be the key factor in shutting down Cagliari's attacking attempts.