Serie A 2025-2026: Cagliari vs Sassuolo Prediction

Cagliari

Home Team
49%
VS

Sassuolo

Away Team
27%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 8 6 0 2 15 8 7 18
2 Roma 8 6 0 2 8 3 5 18
3 Milan 8 5 2 1 13 6 7 17
4 Inter 8 5 0 3 19 11 8 15
5 Bologna 8 4 2 2 13 7 6 14
6 Como 8 3 4 1 9 5 4 13
7 Atalanta 8 2 6 0 12 6 6 12
8 Juventus 8 3 3 2 9 8 1 12
9 Udinese 8 3 3 2 10 12 -2 12
10 Lazio 8 3 2 3 11 7 4 11
11 Cremonese 8 2 5 1 9 10 -1 11
12 Torino 8 3 2 3 8 14 -6 11
13 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 8 9 -1 10
14 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
15 Parma 8 1 4 3 3 7 -4 7
16 Lecce 8 1 3 4 7 13 -6 6
17 Verona 8 0 5 3 4 11 -7 5
18 Fiorentina 8 0 4 4 7 12 -5 4
19 Pisa 8 0 4 4 5 12 -7 4
20 Genoa 8 0 3 5 4 11 -7 3

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.05
# Clean Sheets: 0

Sassuolo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.03
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Sassuolo is predicted to favor the home side, with a 49.0% probability of a Cagliari victory. The likelihood of the match ending with fewer than 2.5 goals is also high, suggesting a potentially tight contest. In the current Serie A standings, Sassuolo holds the 13th position with 10 points, while Cagliari trails slightly behind in 14th place with 9 points.

Match Analysis

Cagliari has been navigating a challenging spell of form, with their last three games featuring two draws against Verona and Udinese, and a home loss to Bologna. Their goal-scoring efforts have been modest, averaging just 0.75 goals per game in recent matches. However, they have shown resilience with a knack for grinding out draws, despite conceding an average of 1.25 goals per game. Sassuolo, meanwhile, comes into this encounter with mixed results. They managed a narrow victory over Verona, settled for a goalless draw against Lecce, and suffered a home defeat to Roma. Their scoring average slightly edges Cagliari's at 1.0 goals per game, and their defensive record is comparable, also conceding 1.25 goals per match. Notably, Sassuolo has managed two clean sheets in their last five outings, indicating a potential defensive solidity that could be crucial in this fixture.

Final Prediction

Cagliari's home advantage and their marginally higher predicted probability of winning give them a slight edge over Sassuolo in this encounter. A key factor to watch will be whether Cagliari can capitalize on their expected goals, as their ability to convert chances may determine the match's outcome. Sassuolo's defensive discipline, demonstrated by their recent clean sheets, will also be pivotal in their efforts to secure a positive result. Football fans can expect a closely contested match, with both sides looking to improve their standings in Serie A.