Serie A 2025-2026: Como vs Cagliari Prediction
Como
Home Team
76%
VS
Cagliari
Away Team
10%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Bologna | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Como | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Lazio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Pisa | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Verona | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
Recent Trends
Como
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
Cagliari
- Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.19
# Clean Sheets:
3
Cagliari
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.70
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Como and Cagliari is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, Como, with a 76.0% probability of victory. This match is predicted to be a low-scoring affair, with a 44.0% likelihood of under 2.5 goals being scored. Como currently sits in the 7th position on the Serie A table, while Cagliari is struggling down at 14th place, indicating a significant gap in form and performance between the two teams.
Match Analysis
Como has been in commendable form recently, evidenced by their unbeaten run in the last three outings. They managed to hold league leaders Napoli to a goalless draw away from home, secured a convincing 3-1 victory over Verona at home, and drew 0-0 with Parma on the road. This string of results highlights their defensive solidity, with three clean sheets in the last five games and an average of only 0.6 goals conceded per match. Their offensive play has been decent, averaging 1.8 goals per game in the last five matches.
On the other hand, Cagliari is experiencing a rough patch, with just two points from their last three matches. They suffered defeats against Lazio and Sassuolo, and only managed a draw against Verona. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game in the last five matches, while their attack has struggled to produce, averaging just 1.0 goals per game. The lack of clean sheets further underlines their defensive vulnerabilities.
Final Prediction
Como's position in the league table and their recent form give them the edge over Cagliari. Their ability to maintain defensive discipline while posing a threat upfront makes them the favorites for this encounter. A key factor to watch will be how Como's defense handles any pressure from Cagliari, potentially allowing them to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities.