Serie A 2025-2026: Como vs Verona Prediction
Como
Home Team
68%
VS
Verona
Away Team
15%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Roma | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Milan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Como | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Udinese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Torino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Como
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
Verona
- Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.07
# Clean Sheets:
2
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.73
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Como and Verona sees Como as the strong favorite, with a 68.0% probability of securing a home victory. In contrast, Verona has a 15.0% chance of winning, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 17.0%. This game is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability of this outcome. Currently, Como holds the 6th position in the Serie A standings, whereas Verona is struggling in 17th place, hovering just above the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
Como comes into this match with a positive trend, having secured a victory against Juventus and drawn in their last two away fixtures against Parma and Atalanta. Their defense has been particularly solid, conceding only once in these three games. Advanced metrics highlight Como's defensive strength, with only 0.5 goals conceded on average over the last five matches, coupled with two clean sheets. Offensively, they average 1.5 goals scored per game, demonstrating their capability to find the net regularly.
Verona, on the other hand, has not tasted victory yet this season, recording three draws and a loss in their last four outings. Their most recent performances include a scoreless draw against Pisa and a 2-2 home draw against Cagliari. Metrics paint a challenging picture for Verona, with an average of only 0.25 goals scored per game in the last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.75 goals. This defensive frailty, combined with their struggles to score, poses a significant challenge for them against a strong Como side.
Final Prediction
Como's solid recent form and superior defensive record give them the edge in this encounter. With Verona's ongoing struggles in both attack and defense, Como's ability to capitalize on these weaknesses could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be Como's defensive organization, as maintaining another clean sheet could pave the way for a crucial home victory.