Serie A 2025-2026: Cremonese vs Atalanta Prediction
Cremonese
Home Team
6%
VS
Atalanta
Away Team
87%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
39%
Under 2.5:
61%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Udinese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Cremonese
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
Atalanta
- Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 4 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Cremonese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.06
# Clean Sheets:
2
Atalanta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.30
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Cremonese and Atalanta appears to heavily favor the visitors, with an 87.0% probability of Atalanta securing the win. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals scored, with a 39.0% probability of that outcome. Currently, Atalanta sits in 8th place in the Serie A standings, just one spot above Cremonese, who are in 10th place.
Match Analysis
Cremonese has shown resilience in their recent performances, managing two draws against Udinese and Como, while suffering a heavy defeat against Inter. Their average goals scored in the last five games stands at 1.33, while they have conceded an average of 1.0 goals. Notably, Cremonese has kept two clean sheets in their last five matches, underscoring a relatively solid defense. However, their expected goals (1.64) suggest they might have been slightly unlucky in converting chances.
Atalanta, on the other hand, has been a model of consistency with three consecutive draws against Lazio, Como, and Juventus. They have averaged 1.67 goals per game while conceding just 0.67 goals on average in their last five matches. Atalanta's defense has been robust, with two clean sheets in that span, although their expected goals tally (1.26) indicates they might need to improve their finishing to capitalize on their opportunities fully.
Final Prediction
Atalanta's strong defensive record and higher average goal-scoring rate provide them with a significant edge over Cremonese. Their ability to maintain composure in tight games and secure results against tough opponents bolsters their position as favorites. A key factor to watch in this match will be Atalanta's attacking efficiency, as converting chances could determine whether they secure the expected victory.