Serie A 2024-2025: Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction

Fiorentina

Home Team
31%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
47%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Recent Trends

Fiorentina ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)

Bologna ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fiorentina

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.75
# Clean Sheets: 1

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.01
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, the odds favor Bologna with a 47.0% probability of emerging victorious. Fiorentina, with a 31.0% chance of winning, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage. The match is predicted to have less than 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability of this outcome. Bologna sits in 7th place with 62 points, while Fiorentina is in 9th with 59 points, adding a layer of competitiveness as both teams are close in the league standings.

Match Analysis

Fiorentina's recent form shows a mixed bag of results. They suffered back-to-back losses against Venezia and Roma, both away from home, before bouncing back with a home win against Empoli. This inconsistency highlights their struggles on the road but also their resilience at home. Key metrics for Fiorentina include an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 goals conceded over the last five games, with one clean sheet to their name. Their expected goals stats suggest they create slightly more opportunities than they concede, but marginally so. On the other hand, Bologna has shown a tendency toward draws, with two in their last three outings against Juventus and Udinese. They did, however, lose to Milan, showcasing a slight defensive vulnerability. Bologna's recent performances reveal an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Notably, their defense has managed two clean sheets in the last five matches, indicating a potential to stifle Fiorentina's attack. Bologna's expected goals statistics suggest a balanced approach, with their scoring opportunities closely matching their defensive capabilities.

Final Prediction

Bologna's edge in this matchup stems from their slightly better standing and their ability to secure points through draws and clean sheets. While Fiorentina has shown some attacking prowess at home, Bologna's solid defensive performances could prove pivotal. A key factor to watch in this game will be whether Bologna can maintain their defensive discipline against a Fiorentina side eager to capitalize on their home advantage.