Serie A 2025-2026: Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction
Inter
Home Team
95%
VS
Fiorentina
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
61%
Under 2.5:
39%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Roma | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Milan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Como | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Udinese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Torino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Inter
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 1)
Fiorentina
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Inter
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.87
# Clean Sheets:
2
Fiorentina
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.29
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Inter is heavily favored to win their upcoming clash against Fiorentina, boasting a 95.0% probability of victory. The game is expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 61.0% likelihood of such an outcome. Currently, Inter sits comfortably in 4th place in Serie A, while Fiorentina struggles in 18th, making this an uphill battle for the visitors.
Match Analysis
Inter's recent form has been impressive, with two wins in their last three matches, including a strong 4-1 home victory against Cremonese. Despite a setback against league leaders Napoli, Inter's attack remains potent, averaging 3.0 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have kept two clean sheets, indicating a solid backline that has conceded only 1.0 goal on average per match.
In contrast, Fiorentina's struggles are evident as they remain winless in their last three games, with a draw against Bologna and narrow losses to Milan and Roma. Their attacking woes are highlighted by an average of just 0.5 goals per game in recent matches, coupled with defensive vulnerabilities that have seen them concede 0.75 goals on average. Fiorentina's expected goals metrics suggest they have potential but have yet to translate this into actual goals.
Final Prediction
Inter's superior attacking prowess and solid defensive performances give them a clear edge in this encounter. Fiorentina's inability to convert chances into goals and their leaky defense will likely be decisive factors. Fans should keep an eye on Inter's offensive players, who are poised to exploit Fiorentina's defensive lapses and potentially deliver a high-scoring victory.