Serie A 2024-2025: Inter vs Verona Prediction

Inter

Home Team
97%
VS

Verona

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 34 22 8 4 54 25 29 74
2 Inter 34 21 8 5 72 33 39 71
3 Atalanta 34 19 8 7 67 31 36 65
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 20 62
5 Bologna 34 16 13 5 52 37 15 61
6 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 17 60
7 Lazio 34 17 9 8 57 45 12 60
8 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 19 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 15 54
10 Torino 34 10 13 11 38 39 -1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 44 48 -4 42
12 Udinese 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Cagliari 34 8 9 17 35 49 -14 33
15 Verona 34 9 5 20 30 62 -32 32
16 Parma 34 6 14 14 40 53 -13 32
17 Lecce 34 6 9 19 24 56 -32 27
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 27 48 -21 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 27 54 -27 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 25 59 -34 15

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.47
# Clean Sheets: 0

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.28
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Inter is anticipated to secure a victory against Verona with a high probability of 97.0%. The match is predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 56.0%. Currently, Inter sits in 2nd place in Serie A, closely trailing Napoli, while Verona is struggling at 15th place, fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Inter's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with two losses against Roma and Bologna both ending 1-0, followed by a strong 3-1 win over Cagliari. Despite the setbacks, Inter has shown resilience in bouncing back offensively. Their attacking prowess remains their strength, evidenced by their average of 1.8 goals scored in the last five matches, supported by an expected goals metric of 1.924. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, failing to keep a clean sheet in the same period. Verona, on the other hand, is on a difficult run, having lost to Cagliari and Roma without scoring, followed by a goalless draw against Genoa. Their struggles in front of goal are apparent, with an average of just 0.4 goals scored in the last five games. Despite managing two clean sheets, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. Their low expected goals metric of 0.566 indicates their ongoing offensive challenges.

Final Prediction

Inter's superior form and attacking capabilities provide them with a significant edge over Verona. With their high-scoring potential and strong league standing, Inter is well-positioned to capitalize on Verona's weaknesses, particularly in defense. A key factor to watch will be Inter's ability to convert their attacking opportunities into goals, which could define the tempo and outcome of the match.