Serie A 2025-2026: Juventus vs Milan Prediction
Juventus
Home Team
47%
VS
Milan
Away Team
29%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Inter | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Verona | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Pisa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Lecce | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Juventus
- Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 0)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Juventus
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.91
# Clean Sheets:
2
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.39
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Juventus and Milan is poised to be a gripping encounter, with Juventus holding a 47.0% probability of victory at home. Milan, currently leading the Serie A standings, has a 29.0% chance of claiming the win, while the possibility of a draw stands at 24.0%. The match is predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with the probability that the game will see goals scored at 54.0%. Juventus sits in 4th place, eager to close the gap on Milan.
Match Analysis
Juventus approaches this match with a mixed bag of recent results, having drawn their last two games against Atalanta and Verona, both ending 1-1, but securing a thrilling 4-3 victory over Inter at home. Their ability to score goals is evident, with an average of 2.33 goals per game in their last five outings. However, defensive lapses have been a concern, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. Juventus' expected goals statistic of 1.78 suggests they are creating opportunities but need to tighten their defense, as evidenced by their 0.91 expected goals conceded.
On the other hand, Milan is in stellar form, having won their last three matches without conceding a single goal. Their most recent victories include a solid 2-1 win over Napoli and a commanding 3-0 triumph over Udinese away. Milan's attacking prowess is highlighted by their 2.5 goals per game average, and their defensive solidity is unmatched in the league, with zero goals conceded across their last five outings. This is further emphasized by their expected goals conceded of just 0.39, indicating a robust defensive setup.
Final Prediction
Juventus has the home advantage and a slight statistical edge, but Milan's current form and defensive resilience give them a formidable presence. The key factor to watch will be whether Juventus can break through Milan's staunch defense, which has been nearly impenetrable in recent matches. Football fans can expect a tightly contested battle with strategic plays defining the outcome.