Serie A 2025-2026: Juventus vs Napoli Prediction

Juventus

Home Team
81%
VS

Napoli

Away Team
8%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 21 16 1 4 44 17 27 49
2 Milan 21 13 7 1 34 16 18 46
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 17 14 43
4 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 12 14 42
5 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 17 15 39
6 Como 21 10 7 4 31 16 15 37
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 20 6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 24 6 30
9 Lazio 21 7 7 7 21 19 2 28
10 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 33 -11 26
11 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 23 28 -5 23
12 Cremonese 21 5 8 8 20 28 -8 23
13 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 22 -8 23
14 Torino 21 6 5 10 21 34 -13 23
15 Cagliari 21 5 7 9 22 30 -8 22
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 29 -7 20
17 Fiorentina 21 3 8 10 23 32 -9 17
18 Lecce 21 4 5 12 13 29 -16 17
19 Pisa 21 1 11 9 16 31 -15 14
20 Verona 21 2 8 11 17 34 -17 14

Recent Trends

Juventus ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cremonese (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sassuolo (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 0)

Napoli ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.68
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.77
# Clean Sheets: 3

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.96
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Juventus and Napoli is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, Juventus, with an 81.0% probability of securing victory. The likelihood of Napoli triumphing stands at a mere 8.0%, while a draw has an 11.0% chance. The game is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, as predicted by a 49.0% probability. Juventus currently sits in 5th place in Serie A, while Napoli is in a slightly better position at 3rd.

Match Analysis

In terms of recent form, Juventus has shown resilience, especially in their last three outings. After a disappointing away loss to Cagliari, where they failed to find the net, they bounced back with a dominant 5-0 home victory against Cremonese and a solid 3-0 away win over Sassuolo. This indicates their ability to recover and maintain strong defensive performances, highlighted by three clean sheets in their last five matches. Napoli, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results. Their recent games include a narrow 1-0 home win against Sassuolo, a goalless draw with Parma, and a commendable 2-2 draw away at league leaders Inter. Napoli has also kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing their defensive stability. However, their average goals scored in recent games (1.4) slightly lags behind Juventus's recent attacking form.

Final Prediction

Juventus has a clear edge going into this match, primarily due to their recent consistency in both attacking and defensive departments. Their ability to bounce back from setbacks and their superior goal-scoring form make them the favorites. A key factor to watch will be Juventus's defensive organization, which has been pivotal in their recent clean sheets and could be crucial in stifling Napoli's attack.